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-   -   9/18: Belmont Park ~ Opening Day (6th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=68500)

Kasept 09-18-2020 05:02 AM

9/18: Belmont Park ~ Opening Day (6th-10th)
 
BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Scarlett Sky 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Lowcountry 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Honorable 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Space Launch 9-2 WON ($21.00)


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Nice group for $40k..

Best Value: #9 Kilronan Late SCR
Next Best: #8 Red Mule 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Big Wonder 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Super Add: #12 Our Troubadour 5-1 5th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Prairie Fire 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #3 Good Credence 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Bustin Scones 12-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Jewel of Arabia 5-2 4th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Nice group, but Motion (#2 Mary's France) deadly with first time North American types..

Most Likely: #2 Mary's France 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Windfall Profit 5-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Lashara 3-1 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #4 Una Luna 6-1 6th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #12 Nero's Fiddle 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Bricco 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Selfmade 5-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Unlikely 30-1 11th


P5 Grid:

6: 7 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
7: 2-8-9/SCR (A), 3-7-12 (B), - (C)
8: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 10-12 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x2x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 1x2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 1x2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (6 w/ 2-8-9 w/ 3-7 w/ 1-2-8 w/10-12)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-8-9/SCR (A), 3-7-12 (B), - (C)
8: 3-7 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
9: 1-2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 10-12 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-8-9 w/ 2-4 w/ 1-2-8 w/10-12)


Good luck!
Steve

Dahoss 09-18-2020 10:52 AM

Treading lightly the first few days as I’m not real enamored with the cards...but I was a little interested in Noble Mischief in the last. No shot his last two, takes the appropriate drop and I see it as a positive that Johnny is riding for his brother in law.

knickslions2 09-18-2020 11:12 AM

Very tough sequence and going to have to single Mary’s France to be able to play. That 10th race is brutal finish as I’m at least 6 deep (1,37,9,10,12) and still don’t feel comfortable. Good luck to those playing

Kasept 09-18-2020 02:36 PM

BEL SCR/CHG'S

Went to bet and just saw the late SCR of Kilronin for first time.. No time for P5 adjustments here.


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