Derby Trail Forums - 8/19: Saratoga (Bolton Landing; 5th-9th)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Surprising amount of pace-interested parties here. Financial System looks extremely formidable..

Most Likely: #8 Financial System 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #1e Amendola Ownership entry 5-1 DH-4th/8th
Best Value: #3 Willing to Speed 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Go Poke the Bear 4-1 6th

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Rivendell 9-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Balon Rose 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 In Front 4-1 WON ($8.40)
Super Add: #5 Bareeqa 6-1 8th

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Blackjack Davey 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Golani Bridge 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Exotics Use: #5 Quickflash 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Big Thicket 7-2 7th

8th: Bolton Landing, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

Toby's Heart was special in debut and deserves the heavy favoritism, but Joy's Rocket & firster Sassy Hannah appear to be the fillies to catch and that often can spell the difference..

Most Likely: #6 Toby's Heart 1-1 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #5 Sassy Hannah 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Joy's Rocket 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mischievous Dream 8-1 4th

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-Inner

Bad bunch o' coconuts that shouldn't be judged harshly when looking for a winner. As Andy Serling teaches, "Bad horses win bad races"..

Most Likely: #8 Women Not Easy 4-1 8th
Best Value: #10 Little Red Button 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Brovia 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Go Zappem 15-1 4th

P5 Grid:

5: 8 (A), 1 (B), 2-3-5 (C)
6: 1-3-5-9 (A), 4-7 (B), 6-10 (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 3-7 (C)
8: 6 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 6-8-9-10 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x4x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

6: 1-3-9 (A), 4-5-6-7-10 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 3-7 (C)
8: 6 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 1-6-8-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x3x1x6 = 108 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x5 = 30 x .50 = $15

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/1/6,7,10/1) Paid $146.50 (A-A-A-A)

Good luck!
Steve