Derby Trail Forums - 6/2: Belmont Park ~ Opening Day (6th-10th)

BELMONT PARK ~ OPENING DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Very nice group of turfing F&M's to start the P5 with top contenders making seasonal debuts. Passive Investing & Madita are among those kicking off their '20 campaigns and either figure prominently. But Repatriated Gem, who also kicks off her year, intrigues at a big number for Stidham & Johnny V. English Soul draws wide for Calumet/Sisterson, but has the benefit of a recent start. Say Hey, a Grp 2 winner in Italy, makes domestic bow here for Clement..

Most Likely: #1 Passive Investing 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Madita 7-2 WON ($9.90)
Best Value: #8 Repatriated Gem 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Bareeqa 5-1 4th

7th: NY-MCLM/$30k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Large group of suspects that features countless contenders separated by about 2 lengths on figs/form, making for an irksome start to the P4..

Best Value: #9 Lorenzen 6-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Inside Info 4-1 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #11 Forest Spirit 5-1 13th
Super Add: #1 Apex Predator 8-1 4th

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Cross Border the horse to beat and outposting not a major concern as he figures to rally given the considerable pace involved and his cut back from his typical staying assignments. Rosario lands on 8-1 Arthur Kitt and really suits his midpack stalk and pounce style. Hidden Scroll moves to the turf and has every right to like it. Gunther homebred Conviction Trade broke his MDN on this course and won well in FL before heading north. Veteran hard hitter Hay Dakota is in for the $62.5k tag while making first start from Kelly Breen barn..

Best Value: #5 Arthur Kitt 8-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Cross Border 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Hidden Scroll 5-2 DNF-Dropped JV
Super Add: #2 Conviction Trade 20-1 6th

9th: Beaugay (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Get Stormy stands at Crestwood Farm in Florida for $7,500 and is represented her by Got Stormy and Fifty Five, winners of 19 races and $2.5MM combined (42/19-8-8). Got Stormy has recency edge on Rushing Fall who's run once (10/5/19 in the First Lady) in 11 months..

Most Likely: #3 Got Stormy 7-5 4th
Next Best: #1 Rushing Fall 6-5 WON ($3.70)
Exotics Use: #5 Passing Out 15-1 3rd

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #7 Justice of War Late SCR (5:30p)
Best Value: #3 Ventus 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 In the Loop 9-5 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Beach Front 8-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

6: 1-3 (A), 8 (B), 7 (C)
7: 9-10-11 (A), - (B), 1-4-8 (C)
8: 5-11-12 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 7/SCR (A), 3 (B), 1 (C)

All A's: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
C Backups: $45 (1x3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9) & (2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18) & (2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18)

P4 Grid:

7: 9-10-11 (A), 4-8 (B), 1 (C)
8: 5-11-12 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7/SCR (A), 1 (B), 6 (C)

All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
C Backup: $15 (1x3x2x2 = 12 x .50 = $6) & (3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9)

Good luck!
Steve