5/30: Churchill Downs (6th-11th)
 

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Tabled 6-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Tiesto 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Buy Me Candy 6-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Strong Tide 30-1 5th


7th: Winning Colors (G3), F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Mia Mischief 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Princess Causeway 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Break Even 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Bell's the One 15-1 WON ($28.20)


8th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Ashiham 8-5 4th
Best Value: #3 Mau Mau 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Aztec Empire 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 What a Country 10-1 WON ($36.80)


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Hidden Facts 4-1 6th-DQ'd from 2nd
Best Value: #10 Whimsical Muse 10-1 WON ($52.00)
Next Best: #6 Bingwa 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Dixieincandyland 9-2 4th


10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Fearless 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #10 Gun It 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Top Seed 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Twelfth Labour 20-1 8th


11th: Mint Julep (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Juliet Foxtrot 5-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Secret Message 8-1 WON ($53.40)
Best Value: #9 Varenka 12-1 11th
Exotics Use: #2 Beau Recall 4-1 9th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Nay Lady Nay 4-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-9 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
9: 10-13 (A), 6 (B), 5-11 (C)
10: 7-8-10 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)
11: 1-2-7-9 (A), - (B), 3-6-11 (C)

All A's: 1x2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
C Backups: 24 (With 1-5: 1x2x2x3x4) + 16 (With 3-9: 1x2x2x2x4) + 18 (With 6: 1x2x2x3x3) = $58


P4 Grid:

8: 3-9 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
9: 10-13 (A), 6 (B), 5-11 (C)
10: 7-8-10 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)
11: 1-2-7-9 (A), - (B), 3-6-11 (C)

All A's: 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
C Backups: 24 (With 5-11: 2x2x3x4) + 16 (With 3-9: 2x2x2x4) + 18 (With 6: 2x2x3x3) = $58

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/10/7/7) Paid $4,756.10


Understanding the C Backup plays:

8: No C's
9: 5-11 (Play: AxCxAxA ~ 3-9/5-11/7-8-10/1-2-7-9) $24
10: 3-9 (Play: AxAxCxA ~ 3-9/10-13/3-9/1-2-7-9) $16
11: 3-6-11 (Play: AxAxAxC ~ 3-9/10-13/7-8-10/3-6-11) $18


Good luck!
Steve

If I can get anything close to 12-1 on Varenka in the Night cap I'll be Firing a Clip...

Church hill
Race 1 pk3
7/all/1,4,5,6,10,12

20 win 7

That’s the betting race of the day. Bombs away. I have 8 on my ticket and still don’t feel good. Looking at 11 at big odds. GL

I’ll start a betting post

SWEET Pick 4 Steve :tro::$::$:

BOOM BOOM BOOM goes the Dynamite!!!

What a day. Congrats and thanks as always!!:$::tro:

Shoulda paid 4 times what it paid. Great job .

missed by one
 

Steve,

Thanks for your exceptional handicapping .

if you look up stupid in the dictionary you'll see a picture of me.....i only used the a's in race 8.....wonderful

Great Handicapping, Steve.:tro:

super steve
 

fantastic job rode ur coatails in both pk 4 an 5 thank you so much
you and mrs steve have hot dogs on me,,just give me day in advance as to when your going great handicapping

Great Job Steve...I thought I was smarter than you LOL and left the 6 off my ticket in the first leg of the pk 4...

THX Jim.. Got some to run today.

Thanks Larry! Hope you did great..

THX Dan.. Hope you and many benefited.

THX Unc! Fun afternoon.

Thanks Myke.. Sounds like you got something anyway. Thought Red Dog (What a Country) was key to the sequence. He races horses into shape so those efforts that looked ordinary were actually OK.

THX Jax!

Tom.. Thank you. Thrilled to hear you came along!

Nice work Steve. I cheaped out on first leg and cost me. Congrats

Thanks, but sorry. What a Country was one of those borderline contenders that you need to use when you can. Next time!

THX, but ugh.. See above.

Excellent Job, Congrats Steve

Creat work Steve! Thanks Kenny P

Gus.. Thanks buddy. Really fun day.

Kenny! THX. Sounds like you got some. Hope you guys are doing OK. Fingers crossed on seeing you (or anybody) at SAR this summer.