Derby Trail Forums - 11/20: Churchill Downs ($120k P5 C/O)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$120k P5 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #8 Wild About Candy 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Fra Mauro 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Moonster 10-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Candy Store 6-1 2nd

7th: ALW/N2X, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

#11-AE Witez jumps into picture should she draw in..

Best Value: #6 Wexx 10-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Pass the Plate 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Morning Gold 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Ask Bailey 7-2 10th

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Balanced and somewhat confused group that may be an 'all' race for deep pocket plays..

Best Value: #6 Carte Blanche 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Gun It 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #5 And Seek 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Dizzy Sight 6-1 6th

9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Curate 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Done Deal 5-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Kowboy Karma 12-1 12th
Exotics Use: #7 Moonoverseba 10-1 7th

10th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (Hi-5)

$11k Hi-5 C/O here..

Tough anchor leg with career maidens, firsters/first North America and some lightly-raced types from good outfits (Ward, Wilkes, Kenneally) that are liable to improve significantly. .

Most Likely: #5 Hypnotist 5-1 9th
Best Value: #8 Made My Day SCR
Next Best: #7 Freedom's Flight 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Dermot 10-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Ramsey Solution 10-1 WON ($9.60)

P5 Grid:

6: 6-8 (A), 4 (B), 3 (C)
7: 6 (A), 1 (B), 4-8-9 (C)
8: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 3-7-8-9 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)
10: 5-8/SCR (A), - (B), 2-3-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

7: 1-6 (A), 4 (B), 8-9 (C)
8: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 3-7-8-9 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)
10: 5-8/SCR (A), 2-7 (B), 3-4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

Good luck!
Steve