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-   -   Steve's Most Likely and Best Value (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=66503)

ontheoutside 07-13-2019 07:39 PM

Steve's Most Likely and Best Value
 
going into today [based on 2 dollars win]
most like 28 best won 29
best value 26 best won 75
total 48 bet 104 won

today
most like bet 12 won 17
best value bet 16 won 30

after 3 days
most like bet 40 won 46
best value bet 42 won 105
total
82 bet 151 won

ive been betting 20 to win on both choices 40 a races
so far ive bet 820 won 1550

ontheoutside 07-14-2019 07:44 PM

so on to day 4 with most like and best value
 
not a great day today
most likely was [bet 8 $ got back 9$]
best value was bet 20 won 0
so to end the 1st week
if your bettinh steves most likely your 48 bet 55 won [based on 2 dollar bets]
best value your 62 bet won 105

total 110 bet 160 won

im betting 20 to win on each play
so im 1110 bet won 1600

plus 490 after wk one

ontheoutside 07-17-2019 05:59 PM

day 5 not much because of weather
 
themost likely only had 1 and lost
the best value only had 4 and won 1
so
most likely bet 2 dollars won 0
best value bey 8 won 6

total after day 5

most like bet 50 won 55
best value bet 70 won 111

im betting 20 on each his plays
so after 5 days ahead plus 510

ontheoutside 07-17-2019 06:00 PM

mistake
 
was up 490 going into day 5

so now plus 450 now

Kasept 07-17-2019 07:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ontheoutside (Post 1128805)
was up 490 going into day 5

so now plus 450 now

Tom..

You didn't bet the top choices in the off/turf races? You missed a $30 winner!

ontheoutside 07-18-2019 06:45 AM

i didnt steve
 
i didnt know which one was which
they didnt have a best value or most likely next to them
but i will say this i did have that 30 dollar winner in a pick 3
i used your m t o picks and in next race you had the 7 just fly as a best value and i used all in 6th
so i hit that pick 3 which i beleived payed over 600,, so i didnt bet sacari
to win,, but it helped me anyways,,,im just pissed that i didnt have that big day you had,, been following your a,b, theory with pk 5 and 4
but could never figure when to put in c,
how many times have i written you, almost mad because you never posted it but then you said you would hit it?
well after that day, it hit me,, i finally figured it out,, its so simple, but i had a mental block
so the next time ill have it too
if doing ok on my own to,,ive hit 2 pick 5 so far and 3 pick 4,,,the pick 4 pools just are not there anymore with the explosion of the pick 5 bet,,but i rthink ill stay with it have a great day,,, turn 94 this week, give me a nice best value that pays 30 plus please lol thanks again for being a highlite to my day with your show

ontheoutside 07-18-2019 07:24 PM

noto day 6
 
not real goos, but not a major loss
most likely wemt bet 12 won 10
best value bet 14 won 6

total after 6 days all based on 2 dollar win bet
most likely bet 62 won 65
best value bet 84 won 117

im betting 20 on each play so as of 6 day im ahead
most likely im ahead 30
best value im ahead 330
total plus 360

ontheoutside 07-19-2019 08:27 PM

day 7
 
most likely bet 4 won 4
best value bet 10 won 8

total after day 7
most like bet 66 won 69
best value bet 94 won 125

for me still plus 340

ontheoutside 07-21-2019 07:33 PM

day 8 another profitable day
 
most likely today was 6bets 12 bet won 15
best value today was 7 bets 14 bet won 33
total today bet 26 won 48 [based on 2 dollar win bet

im betting 20 on all pieces
so today i bet 260 won480

so totales are after day 8

most likely bet 78 won 84
best value bet 108 won 158

for me bet 1860 won 2420
plus 560

ontheoutside 07-24-2019 07:38 PM

day 9
 
todat
most likely went 2-5 bet 10 won 14
best value went 1-8 bet 16 won 14

total after day 9
most likely bet 88 won 98
best value bet 124 won 172

total based on 2 dollar win tickets on all plays bet 212 won 270

im betting 20 on each so im plus 580

ontheoutside 07-25-2019 06:57 PM

not much today
 
10th day
in fact nothing

same totals going into friday
lost likely 88 bet 98 won
best value 124 bet 172 won

blast away this weekend steve

ontheoutside 07-26-2019 06:06 PM

onto day 11
 
today
most likely bet 10 won 3
best value bet 12 won 15

total after 11 days
most likely bet 98 won 101
best value bet 136 won 187

total bet 234 won 288

me betting 20 a piece
im ahead 540

ontheoutside 07-27-2019 09:05 PM

day 12
 
not good today
most likely went bet 8 won 12
best value bet 18 won 0

today bet 26 won 12

thru day 12
most likely bet 106 won 113
best value bet 154 won 187

betting 20 a pop, im still ahead 400 even

ontheoutside 07-29-2019 05:34 PM

day 13
 
not good but still ahead
most likely bet 10 won 9
best value bet 24 won 7

total after day 13
most likely bet 116 won 122
best value bet 178 won 194

total bet 294 won 316 based on 2 dollar win tickets

me betting 20 / im plus 220

Kasept 07-29-2019 06:08 PM

Well Tom, you may finish ahead because I'm out of commission starting tomorrow with retina surgery.. Have to be face down for at least 2 weeks to heal. Hoping to be back for Travers Week.

Good luck!

geeker2 07-29-2019 06:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1129383)
Well Tom, you may finish ahead because I'm out of commission starting tomorrow with retina surgery.. Have to be face down for at least 2 weeks to heal. Hoping to be back for Travers Week.

Good luck!

Oh no Steve..best of luck and hopes for a quick heal!

knickslions2 07-29-2019 08:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1129383)
Well Tom, you may finish ahead because I'm out of commission starting tomorrow with retina surgery.. Have to be face down for at least 2 weeks to heal. Hoping to be back for Travers Week.

Good luck!

Best of luck Steve. Looks like Gus needs to fill in

ontheoutside 08-05-2019 04:23 PM

opps, forgot steves picks on whitney day
 
most likely bet 4 won 12 [2for2]
best value bet 10 won 0

total after 14 days [all based on 2 dollar bets]
most likely 120 bet won 134
best value 188 bet won 194

total
308 bet won 328

me betting 20 a rattle
plus 200

ontheoutside 08-10-2019 08:21 PM

day 15 for steve
 
going in
most likely 120 bet 134 won
best value 188 bet 194 won
total 308 bet 328 won

for me plus 200 betting 20 on each

todat
most likely was bet 8 won 8
best value was bet 10 won 12

totals after 15 days for steve
most likely 128 bet won 142
best value 198 bet 206 won
total 326 bet won 348

for me plus 220

ontheoutside 08-17-2019 10:15 PM

day 16,,,,as said in steves selection page
 
going to include del mar today because steve posted

so at saratoga
most likely bet 4 won 0
best value bet 12 won 18
at del mar
most likely bet 4 won 11
best value bet 8 won 62

total for day
most likely bet 8 won 11
best value bet 20 won 80

total after day 16
most likely bet 136 won 153
best value bet 218 won 286

total bet 354 won 439

at 20 a rattle im up 850


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