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-   -   7/13: Saratoga (Day 3; Diana) Delaware (7th-8th; X-C P5) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=66500)

Kasept 07-13-2019 04:00 AM

7/13: Saratoga (Day 3; Diana) Delaware (7th-8th; X-C P5)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 She's Not Bluffing 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Warm 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #8 Nosy Josey 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Peggy Sue 6-1 3rd


2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

We're involved here with Dee Tee's Minit Maus, who's been waiting to run for over 6 weeks, and honestly don't know what to expect from her and the rest of this jumbled bunch. Zip It Jess gets back to turf where she debuted quite OK last August and she may just fly on the front end. Trainer John Tebbutt wouldn't let Benji Hernandez out of the call to ride Maus for us, (he was on her for the off/turf Friday 10th), which suggests he appreciates the 7# weight break..

Best Value: #4 Zip It Jess Gate SCR/Ran off
Next Best: #2 Prisoner's Dilemma 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Vitanza 10-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Minit Maus 30-1 4th


3rd: 104th Sanford (G3), 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 By Your Side 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #3 Cucina 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Tomato Bill 9-2 2nd


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 High Tide 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Zyramid 8-5 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #3 Irked 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Hometown Pride 8-1 5th


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Originator 8-5 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #8 Catch a Thrill 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Turf War 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Paper Clip 3-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 8-9-10 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
2: 2-4 (A), 6-8 (B), 1-5 (C)
3: 3-5 (A), 2-4 (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (9/5/5/6/1,4,6,9) Paid $198.00 (A-C-A-A-A)


P4 Grid:

2: 2-4-8 (A), 1-5-6 (B), - (C)
3: 2-3-4-5 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1 (A), 8 (B), 2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x4x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/5/6/1,4,6,9) Paid $60.50


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Cloudbased 10-1: Data Link half washed off lawn for debut.. 9th
Next Best: #6 Mr Everything 8-1: Mr Speaker off to sneaky good start at stud.. 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Mr Jaggers 10-1: Mott/Wygod firster working well for bow.. 3rd
Super Add: #3 Field Pass 3-1: Maker/Wycoff LDK colt flew late in 5.5f-T unveiling.. WON ($7.90)


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Special Story 10-1 WON ($23.60)
Next Best: #9 Amundson 4-1 DH-4th
Exotics Use: #7 Lutsky 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Red Zinger 3-1 3rd


8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 First Wave 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Peaceful 2-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Tan and Tight 7-2 3rd
Super Add: 4 So Gracious 10-1 4th


DELAWARE 7th (4:49p): Glasgow, 3+, 7.5f-T (P3, DD)

Cross Country P5 starts here..

Best Value: #11 Just Howard SCR
Next Best: #6 Parlor 3-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #7 O Dionysus 9-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Ballivor SCR


DELAWARE 8th: Delaware H. (G2), F&M-3+, 10f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Elate 7-2 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #6 Blue Prize 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Escape Clause 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Another Broad 10-1 7th


9th: 81st Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Of the Brown quartet, everyone seems to be reaching for Homerique, but I don't think Sistercharlie will 'need one' or that Rushing Fall is necessarily compromised by Mitchell Road..

Most Likely: #4 Sistercharlie 8-5 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #2 Rushing Fall 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Secret Message 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Mitchell Road 8-1 5th


ARLINGTON PARK ~ SPOT PLAY (6:19p ET)

8th: American Derby (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

#2 WAR FILM (12-1): Son of one of my favorite mares (Film Maker) adds hustling Mena off troubled trip.. 5th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Payne 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 El Asesino 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Hersh 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Ruler of the Nile 15-1 WON ($27.20)


11th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #7 Prognostication Late SCR
Next Best: #8 Patriot Drive 6-1 WON ($12.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Shalako 10-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Derby Champagne 12-1 2nd


Cross Country P5 Grid:

DEL 7: 6-7-11 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
DEL 8: 6-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
SAR 9: 2-4 (A), 3-5-6 (B), - (C)
SAR 10: 5 (A), - (B), 3-7-8 (C)
SAR 11: 7/SCR-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x1x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 3x2x2x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.5 X-C Pick-5 (2/3/6/11-7-4-7-) 5 Correct Paid $1,155.00 (A-A-A-C-A) ~ $66


P5 Grid:

7: 2-9 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 2-6-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 3-5-6 (B), - (C)
10: 5 (A), - (B), 3-7-8 (C)
11: 2-7/SCR-8 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x1x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x4x2x1x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-5 (2/6/4/7/8) Paid $8,921.50 (A-A-A-C-A) ~ $120


P4 Grid:

8: 2-6-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 3-5-6 (B), - (C)
10: 5 (A), - (B), 3-7-8 (C)
11: 2-7/SCR-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 4x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/4/7/8) Paid $1,290.25 (A-A-C-A) ~ $36


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 07-13-2019 10:58 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

knickslions2 07-13-2019 11:08 AM

Best of Luck with Minit Maus today. Rooting for you guys!

72BowersSt 07-13-2019 11:57 AM

Can't watch it live but will also be rooting for team Minit Maus!! Good luck!!

knickslions2 07-13-2019 01:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1128603)
Best of Luck with Minit Maus today. Rooting for you guys!

Horse finished strong.

ninetoone 07-13-2019 02:49 PM

Great run by MM!

ninetoone 07-13-2019 04:12 PM

Awesome Super and call on the best value, Special Story, in the 7th also...

Jackson 07-13-2019 08:33 PM

Some excellent work there, Steve.
There was some nail biting on the 11th race.

jms62 07-14-2019 04:02 AM

:tro::$: Great job Steve

herkhorse 07-14-2019 05:15 AM

Wow, awesome Steve! :tro:

Kasept 07-14-2019 05:16 AM

What a fun day, starting with a step forward by Maus followed by a lot of nice results.. Thanks all for the well wishes on the little filly. She'll be back in the same spot in about 3 weeks. Hope everybody got something from the tabs. Have managed to find a horse like Special Story each of the first 3 days and it's given the meet a dynamic start. Let's stay lucky!


Benny 07-14-2019 09:01 AM

Great capping there steve ! :$::tro::$:

Bogey 07-14-2019 09:35 AM

Great work, Steve

casp0555 07-14-2019 10:24 AM

VERY well done Steve...thanks for all your hard work!!

knickslions2 07-14-2019 10:53 AM

Good stuff Steve

Kasept 07-14-2019 11:07 AM

Guys.. Thanks a lot. Thrilled to help everybody pull out of the gate well. Key now is to maintaining the nice early form and being able to adjust as the usual ebbs and flows as they unfold.. G/L today!


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