Derby Trail Forums - 4/13: X-C P5 (AQU 8th; KEE 9th-10th; OP 9th-11th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: Top Flight Invitational (5:21p)

Potential for rain complicates this 6 pack with several having excellent wet track form (i.e., Another Broad, Forever Liesl). Jump Ruler moves to deadly-off-the-claim Rob Atras.

Most Likely: #6 Forever Liesl 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Another Broad 8-1 WON ($11.40)
Next Best: #3 Jump Ruler 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 My Miss Lilly 7-2 3rd

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

9th: Lexington (G3)

Pace should be present here with Zenden and stretchout Hawaiian Noises prominent early and Anothertwistafate in hot pursuit or even mixing it up with them. Stalkers (Sueno, Shang, Owendale) and closers (Roiland, Harvey Wallbanger) should get their opportunity..

Best Value: #1 Shang 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Anothertwistafate 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Sueno 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Roiland 15-1 6th

10th: Jenny Wiley (G1)

Best Value: #8 Onthemoonagain 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Rushing Fall 6-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Rymska 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Phantom Opening 15-1 6th

OAKLAWN

POST-SCRATCHES

9th: Oaklawn H. (G2)

Hard to know how the wet track plays for the off the pace players in this and the Derby. Have already taken an inch of rain and storms expected to continue throughout the afternoon..

Most Likely: #1 Tenfold 7-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Giant Expectations 3-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Rated R Superstar 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Pioneer Spirit 10-1 3rd

11th: Arkansas Derby (G1)

Slightly blinkered Improbable should be well positioned behind speed with Jose Ortiz..

Most Likely: #1 Improbable 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Galilean 10-1 -
Next Best: #3 Omaha Beach 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Country House 12-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

1: 1-2-3-4-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), 9-10 (C)
3: 8 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 9 (B), 2-3-4 (C)
5: 1 (A), - (B), 3-7-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x3x3x1 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A's: 6x3x1x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
C's with A's = $75

Good luck!
Steve