Derby Trail Forums - 1/5: Santa Anita (5th-10th)

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (Jackpot P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Voluable 7-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Light of the World 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Parsimony 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Stubbins 4-1 WON ($8.40)

6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Cool Bobby 3-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Zatter 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Best Two Minutes 4-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Spokane Eagle 4-1 WON ($9.40)

7th: San Gabriel (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

There is ZERO pace involved here which opens the door for someone clever to seize control with miler types Next Shares and Cleopatra's Strike the most glaring candidates. Woodbine ex-pat Cleopatra's Strike now with D'Amato and lures Prat and today may be the right time to latch on at 8-1. As you heard when he joined ATR Wednesday, both of the Proctors are big players. Inside ground-savers Liam the Charmer & Platinum Warrior can impact..

Best Value: #3 Cleopatra's Strike 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Next Shares 7-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Big Bend 12-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Chicago Style 3-1 4th

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Kylemore 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Popular Kid 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Show Me Da Lute 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 The Big Train 5-2 3rd

9th: Sham (G3), 3yo, 1m (DD. Hi-5)

As discussed with Baffert Wednesday, this is a test for work-in-progress Coliseum. He is a very aggressive colt and Joe Talamo is doing his utmost to get the Godolphin Tapit homebred to relax. (Here's his 12/30 bullet work where you can see how hard he pulls early: https://www.xbtv.com/video/coliseum-...ber-30th-2018/). He may out-talent this group in his 2 turn debut, but he also could burn up and prove vulnerable late. He's giving considerable experience away to the likes of Gunmetal Gray, Gray Magician and stablemate Much Better..

Most Likely: #5 Coliseum 1-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Much Better 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Gunmetal Gray 5-2 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Sueno 20-1 2nd

10th: MCLM/$20k, 4+, 1m (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Getaloadofthis 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Sergio 3-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Paul's Diva Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Bitter Ring Home 4-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Violent Affair 15-1 6th

P5 Grid:

6: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-2-8/SCR (C)
8: 7-9 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 7 (A), 4-5/SCR (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)

P4 Grid:

7: 3-5-7-9 (A), 1-2 (B), 8/SCR (C)
8: 7-9 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 4-5/SCR-7 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 4x2x1x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve