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-   -   11/24: Churchill Stars of Tomorrow II (1st-2nd; 8th-12th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=65363)

Kasept 11-24-2018 09:48 AM

11/24: Churchill Stars of Tomorrow II (1st-2nd; 8th-12th)
 
CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Boxwood WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #12 Support 2nd


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Kiss More 15-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Bess 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Naughty Joker 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #5 Blunt Force 8-1 8th


7th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Lunar Orbit 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Fancy Dress Party 8-1 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #4 Midnight Karma 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Kajawa 5-1 3rd


8th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Many good looking 2nd time starters and Corruze intrigues at fat 8-1. Big chance if able to move comfortably to main track..

Best Value: #11 Corruze 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Boldor 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Distant Shore 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Super Steed 4-1 WON ($8.20)


9th: Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Not a lot of pace here..

Best Value: #6 Liora 12-1 WON ($56.80)
Next Best: #5 Restless Rider 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Break Curfew 9-5 7th
Super Add: #2 High Regard 15-1 3rd


10th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Classic Czar 15-1 4th
Next Best: #9 King Ford 7-2 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Thousand Percent 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 So Alive 5-2 6th


11th: KY Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

This is some wild group. Any lack of pace in the girls' race is made up for here, so it looks like you want horses that will be running late..

Best Value: #5 Plus Que Parfait 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Roiland 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Signalman 5-2 WON ($9.20)
Super Add: #11 Mick's Star 30-1 12th


12th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #11 Bundibunan 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Locally Owned 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Derby Date 8-1 5th
Super Add: #10 War of Will 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Hi-5 Play: #9 Curlin Grey 8-1 6th


P5 Grid:

8: 10-11 (A), - (B), 2-3-6 (C)
9: 5-6 (A), 8 (B), 1-2-3 (C)
10: 9-12 (A), - (B), 1-6-11 (C)
11: 1-5-10 (A), 7-9-11 (B), 4-6-12-13 (C)
12: 6-11 (A), - (B), 2-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

9: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)
10: 9-12 (A), 1-11 (B), 6 (C)
11: 1-5-10 (A), 7-9-11 (B), 4-6-12-13 (C)
12: 6-11 (A), - (B), 2-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 11-24-2018 10:12 AM

CD SCR/CHG'S

moses 11-24-2018 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1119190)

I haven’t fully looked at the PPs yet...but Plus Que Parfait at 20-1? The win over Harvey Wallbanger was impressive, I like those odds. I also really like Knicks Go after battling Game Winner last time out...but not sure I like him at 2-1.

moses 11-24-2018 07:33 PM

Wow...great call on Liora Steve!!!

Unfortunately I didn’t have the 10 in the race after so couldn’t really cash on it. But hopefully you hit some tickets with him on it.

Kasept 11-24-2018 08:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1119253)
Wow...great call on Liora Steve!!!

Thanks Moses. She's been a topic of discussion on the show for months. Catalano told everyone everything they needed to know earlier in the fall. And I've tried to reiterate it with every subsequent start. That was just great..

And Plus Que Parfait didn't disappoint either..

Bogey 11-25-2018 08:51 AM

Steve, nice work

Kasept 11-26-2018 06:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey (Post 1119266)
Steve, nice work

THX Gus.. Was a fun card to play and great holiday weekend overall..

Hope you and everyone got some licks in!


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