Derby Trail Forums - 8/12: Saratoga (OFF THE TURF); Arlington ($375k P5 C/O)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Slot 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Take Notice 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Class Won 2-1 2nd

2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #14 Magnetron 2nd
Next Best: #8 Powerstroke 3rd
Best Value: #11 Freudian Analyst 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Singapore Trader WON ($3.20)

3rd: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Erratic group of veterans. Best to buy the race if you're serious about the P5..

Best Value: #5 Too Fast to Pass 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Data Driven 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Big Guy Ian 7-5 WON ($6.50)
Super Add: #1 Yourdreamsormine 3-1 4th

4th: Opt CLM/C, F&M-4+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Jc's Shooting Star 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Malibu Stacy 4th
Next Best: #1 Browse WON ($8.70)

5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Teletype 4th
Next Best: #6 Multi Strategy 3rd
Next Best: #3 Toy Moon 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Brucia La Terra WON ($20.00)

P5 Grid:

1: 4-5 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
2: 8-14 (A), 9-11 (B), 3-6-10 (C)
3: 5-6 (A), 2 (B), 1-4 (C)
4: 2-5 (A), - (B), 1-3-6 (C)
5: 4-6 (A), - (B), 3-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

2: 8-14 (A), 9-11 (B), 3-6-10 (C)
3: 5-6 (A), 2 (B), 1-4 (C)
4: 2-5 (A), 1 (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 4-6 (A), 3-9 (B), 5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,2,4,5,7,9,10,12,13/2/1/9) Paid $196.75

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Feedback 9-2 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #5 Lady Apple 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Wild Moment 15-1 7th
Super Add: #2 She's Got It All 6-1 3rd

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Frostie Anne WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #6 Maximus Beauty 2nd

8th: SAR Special (G2), 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Spinoff 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Call Paul 3-1 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Tight Ten 5-2 2nd

9th: Waya (G3), F&M-3+, 10f-OFF THE TURF (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Mom's On Strike 2nd
Next Best: #6 Tricky Escape WON ($9.70)

10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #11 Ayers Rock 3rd
Next Best: #9 Sippican Harbor WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Princessa Carolina 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 3-5 (A), 2-7 (B), 1-8 (C)
7: 5 (A), 6 (B), 2-9 (C)
8: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
9: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
10: 9-11 (A), - (B), 2-4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x1x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 NYRA BETS LATE PICK 5 (3/1,3,4,5,7,8,10/2,5,6/6/1,3,5,6,7,9,10) PAYS $279.25

P4 Grid:

7: 5-6 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
9: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
10: 9-11 (A), 2-4 (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 PICK FOUR (1,3,4,5,7,8,10/2,5,6/6/1,3,5,6,7,9,10) PAYS $41.25

ARLINTON PARK ~ $375K P5 CARRYOVER PLAY

POST-SCRATCHES

P5 Grid:

4: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-3-7 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
6: 1-2 (A), 3 (B), 4-5-7 (C)
7: 1 (A), - (B), 3-4-8 (C)
8: 1-3 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x3x1x4 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve