Derby Trail Forums - 7/25: Saratoga ($249k DBL C/O)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$249k P6 C/O starts here..

A state-bred juvy jumble. Many mixed messages in pedigrees/works/trainer stats. Watch board for clues..

Best Value: #5 Collegeville Girl 15-1 WON ($20.80)
Next Best: #2 Evan's Nice Now 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Chillinwithfriends 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Time Warp 6-1 8th

6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

VERY nice group with many seemingly intent on the lead. Who can stalk up close and finish is the question..

Most Likely: #4 Purrfect Miss 7-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Pray for Leslie 8-5 4th
Best Value: #1 Play Unified 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Come Dancing 5-2 WON ($6.60)

7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Ridiculously well-matched group..

Best Value: #4 Aikenetta 10-1 5th
Next Best: ##5 Sweet Connie Girl 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Hollywood Cat 2-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Codrington 5-1 7th

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Predictably tough state bred turf ALW, frequently the most productive price races of the meet. Here, the obvious major players look strong with 3 of them (Mascarello-Royal Blessing-Morrison) returning to own kind from open company challenges..

Most Likely: #7 Royal Blessing 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1a (POE) Fox Rules 5-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Mo Diddley 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Morrison 4-1 WON ($9.40)

9th: 27th Honorable Miss (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Finley's lone beat at 6f (7/6-1-0) came in this event last year, though she was a more headstrong type at that time. Kirby's Penny is 2/2 here (on both dry/fast and wet) and still improving at 5. Vertical Oak owns 2 Spa tallies and tries hard. Chalon SCR'D may be speed of the speed for sprint ace Delacour. Faypien was 2nd in the Test last year but doesn't appear to have improved much with maturity. Dallas Stewart taking a shot with Thirteen Songs who is field's lone late runner..

Most Likely: #6 Finley'sluckycharm WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #1 Vertical Oak 2nd
Next Best: #3 Kirby's Penny 3rd

10th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Favored #2 Moneigh Moproblems (5-2) is OK and needs to be used defensively, but is win shy and there's several eligible to score at nice numbers..

Best Value: #9 Novus 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Four Knights 9-2 WON ($7.90)
Exotics Use: #5 Union Ranks 7-2 7th
Super Add: #7 Spring On Curlin 5-1 4th

P6 Grid:

5: 2-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 3-7 (C)
6: 4-5 (A), 1-6 (B), 3 (C)
7: 4-5-6 (A), - (B), 1-8-11 (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), 1-4-8 (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 9-11 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x1x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A's: 2x2x3x1x1x2 = 24 x $2 = $48

P6 P5 Grid:

6: 4-5 (A), 1-6 (B), 3 (C)
7: 4-5-6 (A), 1-8-11 (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 9-11 (A), - (B), 2-5-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x3x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 4-5-6 (A), 1-8-11 (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-7-8 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 5-9-11 (A), 2-6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x4x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/8/2,6/11) Paid $151.75

Good luck!
Steve