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SCUDSBROTHER 11-02-2006 12:42 PM

Future Odds
 
I think there is a time and place to use these.I don't particularly like to bet them a long way out(although Pinnacle has had "no run-no bet" odds for a week or now.)That is unusual to have 1 week out(no run-no bet.)Anyways,to me,the time to use these odds to bet with is when there is a dominant favorite that you think could get beat.Let's say you like the 2nd fav,and the 4th fav in a race.They are paying 5/1,and 14/1 some place where you could lose your money if they get scratched 2 or 3 days out("all bets have action".)The thing to remember is that the 4/5 or 3/2 favorite has got just as much shot of being scratched(due to injury) as your horses do.That could result in you having 2 of the favorites in a race (at odds of 5/1,and 14/1.) This is Something you will never get on the day of the race.

Dunbar 11-02-2006 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
I think there is a time and place to use these.I don't particularly like to bet them a long way out(although Pinnacle has had "no run-no bet" odds for a week or now.)That is unusual to have 1 week out(no run-no bet.)Anyways,to me,the time to use these odds to bet with is when there is a dominant favorite that you think could get beat.Let's say you like the 2nd fav,and the 4th fav in a race.They are paying 5/1,and 14/1 some place where you could lose your money if they get scratched 2 or 3 days out("all bets have action".)The thing to remember is that the 4/5 or 3/2 favorite has got just as much shot of being scratched(due to injury) as your horses do.That could result in you having 2 of the favorites in a race (at odds of 5/1,and 14/1.) This is Something you will never get on the day of the race.

This is a point that not many understand, Scuds. Everyone worries about the fact that their own horse may not make it to the race. But in a race with a huge fav, there is an opposite effect that compensates for that risk. Namely, that the big fav doesn't make it to the race.

--Dunbar


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