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-   -   FRI - Churchill Downs (R7-R10 PK4) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=63420)

Bogey 11-10-2017 06:58 AM

FRI - Churchill Downs (R7-R10 PK4)
 
Churchill Downs

POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R7 - MSW 60k

#8 Demolition (3-1) - Walked out of the gate in debut and made a huge wide run to finish 4th. Adds lasix today and a better break will land him in the winner's circle.
#12 Locomotion (12-1) - Fired a gate bullet last week and Geroux hops aboard for his maiden voyage. This train can be rolling at 1st asking. 4TH
#9 Principe Guilherme (10-1) - Looks ready off long string of works for Asmussen, who doesn't typically work them too hard in the mornings. WON $17.00
#10 King Zachary (12-1) - Romans's Curlin 1ster shows plenty of action in the mornings and is obviously well meant with that $550k purchase price.

R8 - OC 75k/N1X

#8 Get the Facts (4-1) - Finally put it all together in start #4 and this top barn does well Turf to Dirt. Leparoux should secure a stalk a pounce type of trip.
#4 Private Eye (5-1) - Bounced back from a brutal trip in debut and finished strongly in maiden win at Keeneland. He's been gelded since and should not have any issues with the two turns. 3RD
#3 Colonel Fred (10-1) - Draws well again and Divito known for having success with 2yr olds. He'll be checked for class, but fits well with the projected race shape,
#5 Granpa Knows Best (3-1) - Both 2nd and 3rd place finishers in his maiden victory have come right back to win. He'll probably have to rate because #2 Make Noise has plenty of early lick. WON $5.80

R9 - OC 80k/N3X (Turf 8F)

#9 Miss Gossip (Ire) (8-1) - Has been freshened up since battling stakes company in sprints and should be forwardly placed.
She's fired fresh in all 3 of her wins. 4TH
#3 Browse (5-2) - Coming off her best performance to date and Shug has figured out her preferred trip and distance. Dangerous right back. 2ND
#10 Celestial Insight (3-1) - Came up a little short in both tries at this same level during the spring meet. She's definitely a contender and we will see if Leparoux can get her over the top. WON $9.20
#7 Wealthy Shipman (8-1) - Seems to always run her race, but this is a step up in competition than she's been facing in California.

R10 - Md 10k

#11 Malibu At Midnight (6-1) - Drops to lowest level to date and his last Churchill start two back puts him right there. Probably better suited to be closer to the pace early in this race.
#3 Diamond Delight (5-2) - Has burned some money in last two and just stopped running in most recent effort at Keeneland. Shows a solid work since and could have it his own way on the front end with the drop in class.
#1 Jon Knowsthecode (8-1) - $300k purchase can be had for $10k today. Eligible to wake up first time on dirt and biggest drop in the game.
#2 Justanotherbird (5-1) - Absolutely fits at this level and must be considered for a minor slice as one of the top 3 should get it done.

PK4 - 8 9 12 / 3 4 5 7 8 / 3 9 / 1 3 11 = $45 for $.50

Budget PK4 - 8 / 3 4 5 7 8 / 3 9 / 1 3 11 = $15 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

casp0555 11-10-2017 08:32 AM

Thanks for the write up Gus...hopefully I will get to toss in a few dimes today. Good Luck!

Bogey 11-10-2017 08:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1102267)
Thanks for the write up Gus...hopefully I will get to toss in a few dimes today. Good Luck!

Thanks, Billy - Good luck today


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