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-   -   Saratoga Monday Aug. 28th (R5-10) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=63002)

Kitan 08-28-2017 10:41 AM

Saratoga Monday Aug. 28th (R5-10)
 
I think this late P4 can pay boxcars...

Race 5:
#4 Mango M: Put in a fantastic 10.2 work for the March sale, possibly the best I've seen for the 2yos running at the current meet. Looked good going an easy 3f yesterday. 7f + Lasix = Shug will have him ready and this is not a strong bunch.

Race 6:
#8 The Money Train: Let's look at his turf starts. In his first try he spent more time fighting the jockey than trying to run. In his second he made a bit of a middle move out very deep against arguably tougher. Two weeks ago he was sitting in a great spot and went for the inside run and got killed. In a race at Saratoga where the two ML favs are to be ridden by Abel Lezcano and Feargal Lynch (no disrespect to either, I have bet on both many times on this circuit and will continue to do so) I think it's worth taking a price. Sheppard lost his yearly winning streak last year and won't want to leave winless again.
#4 Bellow: Pace should be faster than in his last.
#1 Thirsty Actor: Has relished the turf and beat older last time out.
#10 Hot and Heavy: Final 1/16th may be the nail in the coffin.

Race 7:
#3 Orecchiette: Don't think dueling on the lead is her best tactic, so she can improve from her last. Races have normally been a bit more spaced out, however.
#1 Fields of Song: Form has been dirtied up. Like that they put her back into a spot where she can't be claimed while cutting back to a more suitable distance.
#8 Vigor
#7 Fire Key

Race 8:
#2 Snap Decision
#6 Small Bear
#1 Blind Ambition
#3 Hieroglyphics

Race 9:
#5 English Soul: Not the biggest type but I thought she moved decently enough in her sales work. Dam was a N1X winner on the green over 6f at BEL. Put in a quick 5f move 9 days ago and worked fast enough over this surface earlier in the month.
#8 Saratoga Treasure: There is some turf further back on the bottom and all three sibs to run won within their first three starts, including one on debut as a 2yo. Huge turf influence from the sire and what a hunch play name this is.
#7 Fiveinthemorning
#9 Lady of Miracles
Defending with #2 in the P4 and using #3 underneath (Bush has run 2nd from his last 4 2yo filly FTS in turf sprints at SAR).

$0.60 Late Pick Four

Race 6: 4, 8
Race 7: 1, 3, 8
Race 8: ALL (6)
Race 9: 2, 5, 7, 8, 9
$108.00

Good luck!

ADJMK 08-28-2017 05:30 PM

Sure were right about the 8 being a hunch play. Hope you boxed your numbers and got the tri unlike me who keyed the 5 on top of the 7,8.


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