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-   -   4/29: Belmont Park ($18k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=62212)

Kasept 04-29-2017 08:31 AM

4/29: Belmont Park ($18k C/O)
 
BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$18k P6 C/O starts here..

Nice group with promising first and 2nd time starters with others trying turf while seemingly bred for it..

Most Likely: #6 Wanztbwicked 4-1: Good debut; Blame OK on turf.. 3rd
Best Value: #5 Smokin Hot Factor 20-1: Phlash Phelps half by The Factor.. 7th
Next Best: #3 Storm Team 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Flyoff 6-1 2nd


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 River Date 6-1: Wire threat.. 6th
Next Best: #2 Hard Study 2-1: May try to stay closer.. WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Vincento 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Admiral Blue 5-2 4th


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Tricked Up 3-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Snap Decision 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Conquest Sandman 4-1 WON ($14.20)
Super Add: #3 Bow Tie Affair 30-1 6th


7th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Tricky, dangerous looking group of NYB MDN fillies. Experienced runners (1-6-7-9-11) have merits to recommend and firsters from C. Brown (2), C. Baker (8) & Quick (10) with pedigrees, siblings and/or works that hint at ability. Treacherous spot in the big multis..

Most Likely: #1 Barbie On a Budget 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Sunset Ridge 4-1 WON ($6.10)
Best Value: #7 Goldtown 6-1 -
Exotics Use: #6 Downtown At Noon 3-1 3rd


8th: Elusive Quality, 4+, 7f-T (DD)

Tightly bunched group with Kharafa making his 8yo debut while long time rival Lubash runs in Miami Mile at GP..

Most Likely: #5 Disco Partner 2-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #9 Hammers Vision 6-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Never Gone South 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Calgary Cat 5-2 6th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT

Most Likely: #2 Power Nap 6-1: Morley dropdown won't be 6-1.. 3rd-DQ'd from WON
Next Best: #12 Aktabantay 5-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #3 Bajan Summer 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Chamois 3-1 2nd


P6 Grid:

4: 6 (A), 3-5 (B), 7-9 (C)
5: 2-4 (A), 6-7 (B), 3-5 (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
7: 1-2 (A), - (B), 6-7-9-11 (C)
8: 4-5-9 (A), - (B), 1-3-8 (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x2x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A's: 1x2x1x2x3x1 = 12 x $2 = $24


P4 Grid:

6: 1-6-8 (A), - (B), 2-3-7 (C)
7: 1-2-6 (A), 7-9-11 (B), 3-5-8-9 (C)
8: 4-5-9 (A), 1-3-8 (B), 7 (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 3-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x6x1 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x3x3x1 = $27 ($13.50 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/2/2,5,6/12) Paid $168.75 (A-A-A-C)


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 04-29-2017 10:51 AM

BEL SCR/CHG'S

tanner12oz 04-29-2017 05:46 PM

Was the takedown legit? Cost me pick 4..without seeing the head on it did appear legit and cost placing blah blah blah.

Kasept 04-29-2017 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tanner12oz (Post 1090028)
Was the takedown legit? Cost me pick 4..without seeing the head on it did appear legit and cost placing blah blah blah.

Ortiz couldn't keep Power Nap from lugging in and definitely knocked Chamois off stride. Could easily be interpreted as costing him 2nd as Aktebentay might not have caught him otherwise. Just enough of a foul to warrant the DQ. You could see Morley was steaming. Expected the win and the claim. Linda Rice, of course, got Power Nap.

Alabama Stakes 04-29-2017 10:10 PM

That call stunk. He grazed him as he blew by him and the kid tried to make it look good. It was a bullshit call and Morley was right to be ripshit


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