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-   -   8/3: Saratoga ~ Day 11 (All races ON the turf today) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=60666)

Kasept 08-03-2016 05:13 AM

8/3: Saratoga ~ Day 11 (All races ON the turf today)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: H'CAP, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Andi'amu 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Top Striker 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Miguel Grau 6-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Special Skills 4-1 3rd


2nd: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Littlemissbusiness 7-2 WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #5 Smart Alex 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Appealing Miss 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Shoppingforsilver 4-1 2nd/6th


3rd: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hot Dudette 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Frostie Anne 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 One Minute 5-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Gianna's Dream 3-1 3rd


4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Middling, muddled group..

Most Likely: #1 Alabama Bound 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #9 Sugar Reef 4-1 6th
Best Value:#4 Talkn Til Midnight 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Catch Your Dreams 8-1 2nd


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Ross J Dawg 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Harvard Man 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Watch the Tie 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Chasintheblues 12-1 8th


6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Ol' fashioned plater donnybrook..

Most Likely: #11 Royal Saint 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Saratoga Wildcat 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Waco 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Monster Mash 10-1 WON ($9.20)


P5 Grid:

2: 5-8 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-7 (C)
3: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5 (C)
4: 1-9 (A), - (B), 3-4-8/SCR (C)
5: 8 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
6: 5-9-11 (A), 1-6-7 (B), 10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x1x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


P4 Grid:

3: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5 (C)
4: 1-9 (A), - (B), 3-4-8/SCR (C)
5: 8 (A), 6-10 (B), 1-5-9-12 (C)
6: 5-9-11 (A), 1-6-7 (B), 10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x1x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Saharan 7-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Lady of Victory 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Bruised Orange 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Orient Harbor 10-1 WON ($15.00)


8th: 4th Shine Again, F&M-4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Wavell Avenue 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #7 Momameamaria 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Theophilia 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Linda Linda 12-1 3rd


9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Capriana 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #11 Ack Naughty 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Conquest Superstep 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Saturday Bliss 12-1 3rd


10th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Peculiar Sensation 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #12 Chico Grande 12-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #10 Here Comes R J Late SCR (Gate)
Exotics Use: #7 Majority 8-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Fa Niente 20-1 10th


P4 Grid:

7: 2-3-6-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 2-4-6-7 (C)
9: 2-11 (A), 8-10 (B), 7-9 (C)
10: 4-10/SCR-12 (A), 7-9-11 (B), 2-8-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x6 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 5x1x2x3 = 30 x .50 = $15

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/3,9/1,2,12,13/5,10,12,15,16) Paid $36.75 x 2 = $73.50


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-03-2016 09:19 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

ADJMK 08-03-2016 05:40 PM

I thought the 4 was 2nd in the last. Did they post the right numbers ?

Kasept 08-03-2016 06:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 1071989)
I thought the 4 was 2nd in the last. Did they post the right numbers ?

Thought so too live, but Buckwellspent got nod..

The nose that really hurt was in the 5th.

Alabama Stakes 08-03-2016 07:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1071995)
Thought so too live, but Buckwellspent got nod..

The nose that really hurt was in the 5th.

Pan shot looks like the 8 bobbed him , but the low shot showed 9 winning easy....I was kind of puzzled

Kasept 08-04-2016 04:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1072000)
Pan shot looks like the 8 bobbed him , but the low shot showed 9 winning easy....I was kind of puzzled

I know.. That's me out on the course at the hedge in the light sportscoat and thought 8 got there. From their respective angles, photographers Adam Coglianese had 9 in his shot while Dave Harmon 8 in his.


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