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-   -   Opening day thoughts..... (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=60575)

RHT2004 07-21-2016 01:26 PM

Opening day thoughts.....
 
Race 5..... 1 seems more like a 3-1 shot, not 10-1. Maker is huge 1st off the claim on turf and this horse has turf races that crush this field. I like a lot.
Race 6....against Bowie who is 5-2ml and could be chalk. They did pay 750k. I don't like her at all and will maybe look for her 2nd time out. That's where this trainer excels. Will use either 1,4,7 and the 2. Lukas filly looks fast and I'll cover at like 8-1 or 10-1.
Race 7....5 will be tough on the cutback. But there's lots of other speed. I'll use the 2,4 as prices.
Race 8. I like Olive Branch a lot. But lock of the meet might be to much. I'm going to toss the likely Assman chalk and use 1,3,4. 4 because I respect Todd. 3 because she was super impressive 1st out and had a big trip last time. Price should be solid and she could move way up with a clean trip.

casp0555 07-21-2016 01:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1070184)
Race 5..... 1 seems more like a 3-1 shot, not 10-1. Maker is huge 1st off the claim on turf and this horse has turf races that crush this field. I like a lot.
Race 6....against Bowie who is 5-2ml and could be chalk. They did pay 750k. I don't like her at all and will maybe look for her 2nd time out. That's where this trainer excels. Will use either 1,4,7 and the 2. Lukas filly looks fast and I'll cover at like 8-1 or 10-1.
Race 7....5 will be tough on the cutback. But there's lots of other speed. I'll use the 2,4 as prices.
Race 8. I like Olive Branch a lot. But lock of the meet might be to much. I'm going to toss the likely Assman chalk and use 1,3,4. 4 because I respect Todd. 3 because she was super impressive 1st out and had a big trip last time. Price should be solid and she could move way up with a clean trip.

G'luck Joey....I like the Pletcher filly in the 8th also, may be my only toga play for opening day :rolleyes: would like to pair her up with Olive Branch and Rudy's Summer Sally

jms62 07-21-2016 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casp0555 (Post 1070187)
G'luck Joey....I like the Pletcher filly in the 8th also, may be my only toga play for opening day :rolleyes: would like to pair her up with Olive Branch and Rudy's Summer Sally

I choked on my seltzer when I read this and it came out my nose.

casp0555 07-21-2016 02:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1070191)
I choked on my seltzer when I read this and it came out my nose.

have we ever met?:p

saratogadew 07-21-2016 03:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1070184)
Race 5..... 1 seems more like a 3-1 shot, not 10-1. Maker is huge 1st off the claim on turf and this horse has turf races that crush this field. I like a lot.
Race 6....against Bowie who is 5-2ml and could be chalk. They did pay 750k. I don't like her at all and will maybe look for her 2nd time out. That's where this trainer excels. Will use either 1,4,7 and the 2. Lukas filly looks fast and I'll cover at like 8-1 or 10-1.
Race 7....5 will be tough on the cutback. But there's lots of other speed. I'll use the 2,4 as prices.
Race 8. I like Olive Branch a lot. But lock of the meet might be to much. I'm going to toss the likely Assman chalk and use 1,3,4. 4 because I respect Todd. 3 because she was super impressive 1st out and had a big trip last time. Price should be solid and she could move way up with a clean trip.

I think race 5 is the most wide open on the card. early multi's will be tough. I can't pair down from 2-7-8-9-10-11-12 (7 deep). I'm going to have a cup of strong coffee, and then take another look. Take some scores tomorrow RHT

Rudeboyelvis 07-21-2016 03:35 PM

Race 5
 
Like the 12 clearing easily from the outside and walking this race on the front. I only see 2 other potential pace threats and they're both too cheap to be in here. 1,2,6 (in case they all do go), and 12 for me.

knickslions2 07-21-2016 03:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis (Post 1070201)
Like the 12 clearing easily from the outside and walking this race on the front. I only see 2 other potential pace threats and they're both too cheap to be in here. 1,2,6 (in case they all do go), and 12 for me.

Looks like 1 should get a nice trip in that one Dan. 12 definitely looks to be out front

Rudeboyelvis 07-21-2016 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1070202)
Looks like 1 should get a nice trip in that one Dan. 12 definitely looks to be out front

Agree Tom. Cannot leave him off.

RHT2004 07-21-2016 04:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis (Post 1070201)
Like the 12 clearing easily from the outside and walking this race on the front. I only see 2 other potential pace threats and they're both too cheap to be in here. 1,2,6 (in case they all do go), and 12 for me.

Looks like the 1 is the speed to me,

Rudeboyelvis 07-21-2016 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1070209)
Looks like the 1 is the speed to me,

She will be forwardly placed, but I don't see her on the lead. I think the 12 is quickest but who knows.


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