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If you like Sun King in the Classic...
you have a different form than I do. He is bred to go a mile and an eighth. He has attempted ten furlongs, five times*. He has never finished in the same zip code as the winner, in ANY of his attempts.
As for the disparagement of Premium Tap's chances, once again, we differ. Here is a Grade I winner, with a run all day pedigree, that figures a perfect trip. Anyone who says he is a need the lead type, did not see his last, and more than a few previous performances. His connections are investing $150K to run and granted Prado's request to ride. His last work was oustanding, outworking about a dozen other cup hopefuls at the same distance. Differences of opinion between handicappers are ubiquitous however, and races are run on the track, not on websites. Nevertheless, Sun King is being asked to do something he has never done and is not bred to do; while Premium Tap, without serious trouble in his last would be entering off a dominating performance. Your call. * One race was 1 3/16's. BBB |
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Just for my information, aside from last year's Classic, Derby, and the mile and 3/16 race in the Preakness, where else has Sun King run 10 furlongs?
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Last year's JCGC as well, where he finished third (gasp!!).
I think all results pre-2006 for Sun King can absolutely be tossed. THis is a changed horse from 3YO to 4YO seasons. |
I have four words for you:
Cat Thief and Behrens. Your above statement could easily be said for the two horses above. Cat Thief was 1 - 11 in 1999 and wasnt even in the same zip code going 10 furlongs. But he got the job done. But as you said--this is why they run the race. I will look for Sun King to finish ahead of Premium Tap. |
Sun King appears to be best at 7f-1 mile.
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I just love to hear folks bashing a horse who has WPS in 12 different graded races at various distances over nine different tracks and won just shy of $2 million over the last two years.
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I for one like Sun King over Tap. Sun King is getting good at the right time.
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KG is just mad they aren't running Sun King in the BC Steeplechase this coming weekend.
Tracy Farmer really needs to start thinking outside the box! |
Sun King has run in 20-some races. Who cares how he's bred anymore?
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Volponi, Alphabet Soup, and Concern all were not GI winners prior to the Breeders Cup. Black Tie Affair's only GI win coming into the Classic was the Iselin at 9 furlongs.
So basically in Breeders Cup Classic history, a first time grade I winner takes the race around 14 percent of the time. |
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I missed that point on Sun King's breeding. His sire, obviously, was pretty good at 10f, and Summer Squall was no slouch at either 10f or the mile and three sixteenths distance. To say Sun King wasn't bred to go long is downright preposterous.
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Huh? He lost the Whitney by a head to Invasor who is clearly better than virtually every horse he faced last year. I'm not singing his praises for this race, though I think he has a reasonable chance to get a piece, but you are not making logical sense ( again ). |
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