Derby Trail Forums - 5/20: Pimlico (Black-Eyed Susan Day; 7th-14th)

HI HO PIMLICO!

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 46th Pimlico Special (G3), 4+, 9.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Noble Bird 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #5 Idolo Porteno 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Savoy Stomp 15-1 4th

8th: 11th Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Rocket Heat 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Ben's Cat 9-5 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #6 Big Guy Ian 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Night Officer 3-1 4th

9th: 23rd Allaire DuPont Distaff (G3), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Maddeningly well-matched field with any seemingly plausible in pay slots. Using Camille Claudel as you can be assured that Trey Abbott will have ouchy mare ready to run..

Most Likely: #5 Ahh Chocolate 5-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #4 Mei Ling 3-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Camille Claudel 20-1 8th
Super Add: #7 America 15-1 9th

10th: 44th Hilltop, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Another outstanding group of 3yo fillies on the grass. Nearly unlimited price options to utilize, so don't be shy spreading in multis and taking flyer(s) in-race..

Best Value: #7 Thundering Sky 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Miss Katie May 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Koala Queen 10-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Gone Away 10-1 WON ($29.80)

11th: 92nd Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (Susan-Preakness DBL, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

P5/P4 players may need to simply rely on credentialed pair out of the Kentucky Oaks for austerity purposes given the difficulty of the earlier legs. Mom's On Strike pointed for this minutes after eye-opening Oaklawn effort. Eurton MDN She's a Warrior another escapee from the shadow of Songbird..

Most Likely: #3 Land Over Sea 2-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Go Maggie Go 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #14 Mom's On Strike 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 She's a Warrior 6-1 7th

P5 Grid:

7: 5-7 (A), - (B), 3-4-6-8 (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 3-7 (B), 1-5 (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 8 (B), 4-6-11-14 (C)
11: 3-5 (A), 14 (B), 6-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-5 (1,2,7/2/5/11/5) Paid $794.80 (A-A-A-C-A)

P4 Grid:

8: 2-7 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 3-4-5-7 (A), 1-2-8-9 (B), (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 8 (B), 4-6-11-14 (C)
11: 3-5-14 (A), - (B), 6-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x8x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-4 (2/5/11/5) Paid $390.00 (A-A-C-A)

12th: OC/C-32k, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Hi-5)

Tough group with no shortage of capable double digit players..

Most Likely: #2 Phlash Phelps 3-1 WON ($8.20)
Best Value: #6 My Enigma 15-1 12th
Next Best: #11 Metaboss 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Bank Float 10-1 2nd

13th: 31st Miss Preakness (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (DD, Hi-5)

Too much speed involved here to not be interested in a late runner. One True Kiss made breakthrough run in last and similar effort scores at bonus number under ideal pilot for circumstance..

Best Value: #7 One True Kiss 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Lost Raven 5-1 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Banree 7-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Right There 12-1 10th

14th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f-T (Hi-5)

Ridiculous finale..

Most Likely: #11 Cruise More 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #5 Annawon 20-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Guts and Glory 8-1 11th
Exotics Use: #6 Outofthedepths 15-1 8th

P4 Grid:

11: 3-5 (A), 14 (B), 2-6-9-10 (C)
12: 2 (A), 6-11 (B), 3-5-14 (C)
13: 4-7 (A), 3-9 (B), 2-6-10 (C)
14: 5-11 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/2/4/7,11,14,15,16) Paid $149.25

Good luck!
Steve