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-   -   5/11: Belmont Park (6th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=60108)

Kasept 05-11-2016 07:29 AM

5/11: Belmont Park (6th-9th)
 
BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Important MDN group featuring debuts for KMc's Indulgent (half to Frosted) and Clement's Taurine (half to Capo Bastone). Deedeezee (3yo bow) and Genuine Happiness eligible to improve in 2nd career starts..

Best Value: #3 Deedeezee 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Indulgent 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Taurine 3-1 WON ($22.00)
Super Add: #5 Genuine Happiness 12-1 3rd


7th: CLNM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Wildly competitive group of 2x-winning hard hitters that have combined for more than 150 starts. Not much pace on, so someone needs to get aggressive and DeCarlo a candidate on well-priced Big Yum (15-1)..

Best Value: #3 Big Yum 15-1 5th
Next Best: #5 St. Louie 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Skill Not Luck 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Captain Moss 8-1 WON ($7.70)


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Nice feature with any number of soph gals with upside including a pair of Chad Brown first time 3yo starters in imported Elysea's World and expensive Grey Stark. Clement's Width gets back to turf and Shug's Hold Harmless within 6L of Catch a Glimpse in the Herecomesthebride. Not Taken for Matt Gatsas and Terranova holds intriguing hand with host of siblings that were very good on grass. Looms a threat at 20-1 under hustling Carmouche..

Most Likely: #6 Elysea's World 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #1 Width 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Not Taken 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Hold Harmless 5-1 8th


9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 7f

Bad bunch o' coconuts and as Andy Serling says, bad horses win bad races, so be open to anything. Maker's Croke Park drops from NY-MSW company as does Ronen's We Did and note that We Did faced open MCLM's for $30k two back and fit. Nic Esler good with firsters and Peculiar Sensation won't have to be that special to win here. Caelifera and Cat's Landing have form cycles that point to efforts that can win. Levine drops down, cuts back, turf to dirts and doffs hood with Wizard of Id. In other words, think you'll need to cover a handful to close out sequence with any confidence..

Most Likely: #2 Croke Park 7-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Wizard of Id 15-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Caelifera 8-1 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Peculiar Sensation 10-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

6: 2-3 (A), 1 (B), 5 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 6 (B), 8-9 (C)
8: 6 (A), 1 (B), 4-7-10 (C)
9: 2-10 (A), 1-4-7-8-9-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x8 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x1x2 = $8
Full (A/B/C): $73


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 05-11-2016 11:26 AM

BEL SCR/CHG'S


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