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-   -   4/23: Keeneland (5th-10th); Charles Town (Classic) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=59984)

Kasept 04-23-2016 07:18 AM

4/23: Keeneland (5th-10th); Charles Town (Classic)
 
KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Msw, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Super competitive fillies going long on the grass. Few of the experienced would surprise and Proctor's latest out of Motokis (Keertana, et al) and Shug-Rosen War Front out of Theysken's Theory (Trade Show) are fancy firsters..

Most Likely: #12 Try Your Luck 5-1 WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #8 Trade Show 10-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Tizthesound 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Private Client 10-1 2nd


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Forecast 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Mundy Road 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Curricula 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Ultra Brat 4-1 WON ($9.20)


7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Shadow Rock 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #11 Moon River 20-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Whiskey Bravo 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Dingdingdingding 10-1 3rd


8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Lady Soul 5-2 6th
Best Value: #3 Final Decision 20-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Dear Elaine 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Ma Can Do It 2-1 2nd


9th: 31st Elkhorn (G2), 4+, 12f-T (DD)

Best Value: #1 Da Big Hoss 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #7 Kaigun 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Idolo Porteno 12-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Up With the Birds 3-1 5th


10th: MCLM, F&M-3+, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Brilliant Belle 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #8 Gift of Sense 5-1 -
Next Best: #3 Only One Wish 7-2 -
Exotics Use: #6 Court the Storm 8-1 -
Super/Hi-5: #7 City Beauty 5-1 -


P5 Grid:

6: 5-7 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-6-8 (C)
7: 2-11 (A), 1-5 (B), 4-10 (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 3-7-8 (C)
9: 1-7 (A), 2-4 (B), 6-8 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), - (B), 3-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x1x2x1 = $8 ($4 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-5 (3/2/8/1/1) Paid $6.25 (4OF5)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-11 (A), 1-5 (B), 4-10 (C)
8: 2 (A), 3-8 (B), 7 (C)
9: 1-7 (A), 2-4 (B), 6-8 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 3 (B), 6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (2/8/1/1) Paid $80.35



CHARLES TOWN


POST-SCRATCHES


12th: 8th Charles Town Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (DD)

Eppler handling of Page McKenney simply brilliant and won't take too many more big wins to put him into contention as greatest claim ever. Has tricky post on 7/8ths oval but is the kind of horse who rewards confidence and makes you feel he can't lose when targeted for spot. Stanford may get dream trip up front..

Best Value: #9 Page McKenney 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Stanford 9-2 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Imperative 7-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Donworth 3-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-9) Paid $33.20
$1 Trifecta (7-9-4) Paid $158.50
$1 Superfecta (7-9-4-5) Paid $469.30



Good luck!
Steve


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