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Bernardini 10-20-2006 01:34 PM

BCC Predictions
 
New to this site, unlike espn I find this board have some meaning full posts. Now to business, here are my predictions for BCC:

Juvenile Fillies: Point Ashley / Cotton Blossom
Juvenile Colts: Scat Daddy / Circular Quay
Turf F&M: Wait a While / Gorella (if she runs this race)
Sprint: Henny Hughes / Siren Lure
Mile: Aragorn / George Washington
Distaff: Balleto / Pine Island
Turf: English Channel / Cacique
Classic: Bernardini / Perfect Drift (likes CD track)

any thoughts !!!

Bold Reasoning 10-20-2006 01:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bernardini
New to this site, unlike espn I find this board have some meaning full posts. Now to business, here are my predictions for BCC:

Juvenile Fillies: Point Ashley / Cotton Blossom
Juvenile Colts: Scat Daddy / Circular Quay
Turf F&M: Wait a While / Gorella (if she runs this race)
Sprint: Henny Hughes / Siren Lure
Mile: Aragorn / George Washington
Distaff: Balleto / Pine Island
Turf: English Channel / Cacique
Classic: Bernardini / Perfect Drift (likes CD track)

any thoughts !!!

I am playing that Classic exacta. I am also playing Bernardini on top of Giacomo. The grey guy likes Churchill, too.:D I agree on the Distaff. Is George Washington in the Mile????

Bernardini 10-20-2006 01:49 PM

I hope GW runs, even thought too soon to say any thing about whoes going where, but I like to take a crack at it !!
I forgot about Giacimo, I wonder if late runners will benifit from this years Classic or the top three LM, Invasor, B'dini are too good for the rest??

lemoncrush 10-20-2006 02:16 PM

Too early for me to make predictions..
I assume Steve or the mods here will make a STICKY thread for each of the BC races, where everyone can share there thoughts and predictions. At least that will be an easy way to keep things organized.

cakes44 10-20-2006 02:28 PM

As long as Pegasus Wind gets a reasonable post, he'll finish ITM in the Juvenile.

zippyneedsawin 10-20-2006 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44
As long as Pegasus Wind gets a reasonable post, he'll finish ITM in the Juvenile.


I hope he's in the starting gate, he'll set a nice pace for CQ to run down.

kgar311 10-20-2006 02:36 PM

Pegasus Wind is a nice big horse. Got caught by scat in his last only because of the huge stretch at belmont. He would of the caught the wire in front at any other track that day. Shorter stretch and getting his own way on the front again and hes no worse then second.

Thunder Gulch 10-20-2006 04:49 PM

I predict I'll drink a bunch of beer/juleps.:D I'll reserve much comments on the race outcomes until I see the full pp's on Wednesday before.

brianwspencer 10-20-2006 05:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch
I predict I'll drink a bunch of beer/juleps.:D I'll reserve much comments on the race outcomes until I see the full pp's on Wednesday before.

good call.

i predict i will be wildly hungover from too many hours of open bar at a wedding reception the night before.

i also predict me not caring, and going to arlington trackside to make my bets at 10 am, and then getting drunk again at my hotel while i watch it.

randallscott35 10-20-2006 11:36 PM

Bernie,
you are going to cut your mouth on all that chalk.

Slewbopper 10-20-2006 11:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311
Pegasus Wind is a nice big horse. Got caught by scat in his last only because of the huge stretch at belmont. He would of the caught the wire in front at any other track that day. Shorter stretch and getting his own way on the front again and hes no worse then second.

Churchill's stretch is much longer than Belmont's, and the Juvy is around two turns also.

alysheba4 10-21-2006 09:56 AM

i am keeping my fingers crossed that they all make it sound by race day...... this is 1 awesome horse race. i have become an instant fan of george being that his granndpa is sheba:) i know its a very tall order but he is obviously a talented classy horse.

Slewbopper 10-21-2006 10:01 AM

And talking about stretch lengths, the inner dirt stretch at Aqueduct is longer than the main track. Doesn't make sense, but it is true.

Slewbopper 10-21-2006 10:19 AM

I think that people just assume Belmont has to have a long stretch because of the 1 1/2 mile circumference of the track. Actually, it is about the same distance from the beginning of the stretch to the finish as it is from the finish to the clubhouse turn. The 6 furlong pole is directly across from the finish line. Most tracks have the finish line closer to the clubhouse turn than the head of the stretch ala Churchill and Santa Anita

jpops757 10-21-2006 10:19 AM

with these full fields and the post psitions some will draw, the best horse dosent always win. Trip,pace, and luck will put at least one double diget odd horse in the winners circle. Finding a loose on the lead, uncontested lead winner can lead to a bomb. Bad break out of the gate. Traffic problems. Pace melt down. Something as simple as a horse running the race of his or her life.

Revolution 10-21-2006 10:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bernardini
New to this site, unlike espn I find this board have some meaning full posts. Now to business, here are my predictions for BCC:

Juvenile Fillies: Point Ashley / Cotton Blossom
Juvenile Colts: Scat Daddy / Circular Quay
Turf F&M: Wait a While / Gorella (if she runs this race)
Sprint: Henny Hughes / Siren Lure
Mile: Aragorn / George Washington
Distaff: Balleto / Pine Island
Turf: English Channel / Cacique
Classic: Bernardini / Perfect Drift (likes CD track)

any thoughts !!!

Those are good picks, but George Washington is running in the Classic. I like Cacique over EC, and CQ to beat Scat Daddy. Fleet Indian would be my Distaff choice. I like all your other picks though.

SCUDSBROTHER 10-21-2006 10:57 AM

I predict that Giacomo will be interested in running only if there is a nice pace to chase(otherwise he really could care less.)I am not making fun of him.I just know what he likes,and he likes to have horses runaway from him(and then he gets his rocks off by collecting them one by one.)So,I think he can make the tri if they cook it for him.My guess is that this is a situation where many of these riders have nothing to lose,and they know they can't win unless they do something to throw Bernadini off somehow(reminds me of the Smarty Jones Belmont.....People think Bernadini can't get beat,but he is enemy #1 for every other jock in there.)

Danzig 10-21-2006 02:59 PM

surprised that premium taps people have decided to enter....i guess no news from suave means he won't be there.

if there speed entered, than i would use giacomo and/or perfect drift underneath. huge question mark on geo washington and david junior. DJ is the real deal, but dirt is the HUGE question mark.

i'll be pulling for pine island.
as for the juvies, i doubt point ashley is going. don't really care who wins either one.
i am looking forward to the day as a whole. only horse i really plan to 'root for' is pine island. all the others i'll just watch and enjoy the best take on each other.


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