Fair Grounds: Opening Day,Thurs 11/19
 

My winter "home" for racing...

An interesting opening day card.

Race 1: $7,500 claimers going 1 mile 70 yds

1- His dirt stats are good: 5-2-1-2 has the right running style for FG
2- Dirt stats are 10-1-2-1 been off for 61 days
3- First time trying a distance race, half of the Broberg "uncoupled entry"
4- LA bred who broke his MDN here with Statebreds. I see him as a live longshot
5- Midwest Throughbreds trained by Amoss will be post time favorite. Been post time favorite 5 straight races, only won one of them
6- Other Broberg horse, third off the layoff. Crushed a field of 5K claimers going 6 1/2 last start at Delta
7- ran twice at FG both off the board

1-4-6-5 these are my top 4, will narrow it down to key horse after scratches


Race 2: $10,000 LA Statebreds MDN Claimers going 1 Mile

1- 3/1 ML favorite not sure why, speed figures going in wrong direction. Did "win" at FG with Statebreds but DQ'd
2- been off 82 days, only one work since layoff
3- been off 145 days, no workout since 10/3. Ronda Hutchinson trains
4- been off 82 days, one work on 11/7. First time going 1 mile
5- been off 73 days, could be the "speed" of the race
6- been off 82 days, never lifted a leg in 4 previous races. Ronda Hutchinson "other half"
7- first time at a route, has quite a bit to prove
8- been off 92 days, blinkers come back off. One interesting note Jame Theriot rides
9- been off 72 days, worked 10/28 & 11/7. First time going a route

Tough field to bet on, someone will win.
5-9-8-1

Race 1: 1-Tobacco Fox $20WP
$10 exacta box: 1/4,6
$20 exacta: 1/5


Race 2: 9-Smartfromthegitgo $20WP
$10 exacta box: 9/1,5,8


Race 3: 6-Friends With Money $15WP
$10 exacta box: 6/4,5,7


Race 4: 1-Lunarstrike $15WP
$10 exacta box: 1/3,4,5
$20 exacta box: 1/6

Race 5: 1-One Top Queen $20WP
$10 exacta box: 1/4,8,11


Race 6: 3-Ad Hoc $15WP
$10 exacta box: 3/1,2,4,8


Race 7: 5-Reality Is Great $20WP
$10 exacta box: 5/1,7


Race 8: 7-Vow Of Secrecy $20WP
$10 exacta box: 7/1,3,6

Race 9: 4-Green Juice $20WP
$10 exacta box: 4/2,3
$20 exacta box: 4/5

Good luck Lone Star

Ok I quit 1/1 for the meet....
Results: 1-4-2-7 2&4 DH'd for 2nd
My pick won paying $6.20 $3.40
Hit $10 exacta that paid $26.60

Race 2: 1-3-9-2

My pick ran 3rd

Race 3: 5-6-1

My choice ran 2nd paying $9.80
Had a $10 exacta which paid $112.40 for $2


$990 was bet today, collected so far $864.50

Race 4: 4-6-1-5

My pick ran 3rd

Race 5: 8-1-2-9

Lost a tough one at 12/1, ran 2nd paid $10.40
Had $10 exacta $89.80 for $2

Collected $520 that race $864.50 = $1,384.50 collected so far
$990 was bet.

Race 6: 2-3-12

My pick ran 2nd, paid $7.00
Had $10 exacta paid $51.00 for $2

$255 + 52.50= $307.50 + $1,384.50 = $1,692.00 collected for the day... + $702 for the day

Race 7: 1-7-6

My first pick to run off the board today....

Race 8: 4-11-12-3


My pick ran out, let's end the day with a winner in the 9th

Race 9: 10-5-8-1

56/1 wins last race...someone is going home happy

Day 1: - $626.20
Day 2: +$702.00
2 Day totals: + $75.80

Day 1: 9-1-2-4
Day 2: 9-1-3-2
2 Day totals: 18-2-5-6

11% win rate
39% place rate
72% ITM rate

My style is different than most because I key off my top pick. So it's usually all or nothing....