Derby Trail Forums - 10/1: Santa Anita ($62k C/O)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

There is scant speed here. Celebrity Status can wire. Out POatience turns back from Los Al mile but can't lose touch with leaders. Apollo Ten lurking back with Carava and back at SA..

Most Likely: #7 Celebrity Staus 5-2 6th
Next Best: #1 Out of Patience 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Apollo Ten 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Market Notes 4-1 5th

4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Tulira one of the viable single options in sequence..

Most Likely: #1 Tulira Castle 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #6 Warren's Nicholas 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Life Is a Joy 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Broadway Nika 3-1 6th

5th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Guillot and Moreno contracting operation and this Smart Strike homebred might lift spirits considerably. Last (first turf) was best yet and this looks like breakthrough spot with the added distance..

Best Value: #1 Boone Docks 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #6 Broken Up 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Big Discovery 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Paythebank 6-1 5th

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Bejarano sticks with D'amato stablemate (and deserving fave) Bellamentary, but don't exclude Blessherheart (12-1) who may move up considerably coming out of the race that produced Where's the D. Likewise, Baffert intriguing with mid-priced Structure and Escapee (6-1 each)..

Most Likely: #7 Bellamentary 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #2 Blessherheart 12-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Structure 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Escapee 6-1 6th

7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Very strong feature with 5x winner Thundering Gale the sole participant running for the tag. Though she's not tried the downhill course, she has the profile of the type that succeeds on it. 1-5-9-10 have smaller win potential and are the exotics candidates.

Most Likely: #7 THUNDERING GALE 7-2 8th
Best Value: #9 Queenofthepalace 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Lost Bus 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Madam Aamoura 12-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Glory 4-1 WON ($6.20)

8th: OC/S-ALW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Sharp Holiday 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Aiming Straight 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Dragon Flower 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Public House 5-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #10 Pretty Enuff 12-1 -

P6 Grid:

3: 1-7 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-5 (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
5: 1-6 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-4-5-8 (C)
6: 7 (A), 2 (B), 6-9 (C)
7: 7 (A), 9 (B), 1-5-10 (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple: 4x1x4x2x2x1 = 64 x $2 = $128

P4 Grid:

5: 1-6 (A), 2-7-8 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
6: 2-7 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
7: 7 (A), 1-5-9-10 (B), - (C)
8: 7 (A), 4-9 (B), 3-10 (C)

Simple: 5x2x5x3 = 150 x $.50 = $75

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/7,11,12/10/4) Paid $62.15

Good luck!
Steve