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-   -   8/21: Saratoga (Day 25; 7th-10th); Del Mar ($303k DBL C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=58136)

Kasept 08-21-2015 12:15 PM

8/21: Saratoga (Day 25; 7th-10th); Del Mar ($303k DBL C/O)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Dark Roast 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 Manoffire 3-1 WON ($8.30)
Best Value: #4 Black Tide 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Banana Thief 4-1 4th


8th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Scatter Joy 4-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Tenango 5-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Nubin Ridge 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Sir Bond 5-1 WON ($15.20)


9th: Schenectady-NY, 2yo, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Too Discreet 7-2 WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #7 Bruised Orange 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Montauk Cove 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Don't Be So Salty 4-1 3rd


10th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f

Older MDN's with several having been OK and more in their runs. However, firsters Faraaj (full to Flashback and Zazu) for Pletcher, Bokeelia Island (half to Point of Entry and Pine Island) and Marking (hot working Godolphin homebred o/o MGSW Seventh Street) all have license to come out running..

Most Likely: #5 Marking Late SCR (Gate-Flipped)
Best Value: #8 Smiling John 8-1 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #4 Farraj Late SCR (Gate-Affected by #5)
Exotics Use: #9 Imslopokerodriguez 4-1 5th


P4 Grid:

7: 9-10 (A), 3-4-5-8 (B), 2 (C)
8: 6 (A), 3 (B), 5-10-11 (C)
9: 1-7 (A), 4-5 (B), 3/SCR (C)
10: 5/SCR (A), 4/SCR-8 (B), 6-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Mistaken Identity 5-2 6th
Best Value: #7 Basmati 6-1 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #10 Saint Adalbert 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Shame On Alex 6-1 9th


3rd: CLM, 3yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Trifecta 5-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Lovenseek 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 A Colt Following 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Rockin Robin 7-2 WON ($11.40)


4th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Dixie Writer 3-1 9th
Best Value: #3 Start a Runnin 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Kelly With a Twist 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Outrage 12-1 6th


5th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Chief of Staff 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #6 Storm Comin Thru 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Prince Charmant 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 King Burdick 12-1 8th


6th: CTT & TOC H., F&M-3+, 11f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Star Act 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Circling 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Dido 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Aguafria 8-1 4th


7th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 1m (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 UNSTOPPABLEPASSION 4-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Warren's Honey Bee 8-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Katsfashion 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Olympic Lady 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Hi-5 Play: #2 Katy's Plum 10-1 2nd


P6 Grid:

2: 7-8 (A), - (B), 1-10 (C)
3: 8 (A), 5 (B), 1-3-6 (C)
4: 3-6 (A), 4-7 (B), 9-10 (C)
5: 7 (A), 6 (B), 9 (C)
6: 5 (A), 3-7 (B), 2-8 (C)
7: 10 (A), - (B), 5-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x2x3x1 = 96 x $2 = $192
Full (A/B/C): $208


P4 Grid:

4: 3-6 (A), 4-7-9-10 (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
6: 3-5-7 (A), 2-8-9 (B), (C)
7: 10 (A), - (B), 2-4-5-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $75 (With $1 All A's Play)


Good luck!
Steve


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