8/20: Saratoga (Day 24; Union Avenue); Del Mar ($58k C/O)
 

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Pushme Pullyou 9-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #7 Single Malt Female 10-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Backwater 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Sambrook 5-2 2nd


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Thurgood 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 He Has Charm 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 East Bay Lodge 5-1 WON ($8.30)
Exotics Use: #2 All Over Me 4-1 3rd


3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Money Changer 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 I'mbetterthangood 5-1 3rd


4th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 I Believe I Can 3-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Je Ne Sais Pas 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Book the Bet 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Tax Deduction 5-1 5th


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Tiztalented 4-1 WON ($7.90)
Next Best: #10 Right Decision 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Delightful 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Elated 5-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

1: 3 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-2-6 (C)
2: 3 (A), 4-7 (B), 2 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 2-4-5 (B), 6-7-8 (C)
5: 8 (A), 10 (B), 2-4-5 (C)


P4 Grid:

2: 3-7 (A), 2-4 (B), 1 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 2-4-5 (B), 6-7-8 (C)
5: 8 (A), 10 (B), 2-4-5 (C)


6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Changewilldoyagood 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Royal Posse 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Beyond Empire 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 All About Ashley 6-1 7th


7th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 STARTWITHSILVER 3-1: Exchanged blows with Big Thrill prepping for debut.. 2nd
Next Best: #7 Preying Mantis 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Freudsalm 7-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Chinchilla Dust 15-1 WON ($44.00)
Super Add: #4 Silver Vixen 10-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (8-9) Paid $216.75
$1 Trifecta (8-9-4) Paid $2,202.50
$1 Superfecta (8-9-4-7) Paid $12,467.00


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Unbridled Juan 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Sea Raven 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Indian Brut 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Rare Eagle 15-1 7th


9th: Union Avenue-NY, F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Willet 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Sister Margaret 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Miss Da Point 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Make the Moment 5-1 7th


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #4 Strong Incentive 5-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Flick of an Eye 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Fair Point 5-2 WON ($8.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Tasunke 4-1 5th


P4 Grid:

7: 9 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-2-4-8 (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
9: 7-9 (A), 2-4 (B), 1-6-8-10 (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 2-7 (B), 1-3-9 (C)



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 3yo, 5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$56k P6 C/O starts here..

This feels trickier than it looks. Jazzy Josh back on turf and can pounce on the frontrunners..

Best Value: #2 Jazzy Josh 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Smack Talk 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Rocket Heat 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #7 City of Vengeance 5-2 4th


4th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

First of 3 MCLM's and all equally murky..

Best Value: #6 Tequila Mary 6-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Some Caan Job 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Among the Angels 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Swiss Rosalee 5-1 2nd


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Dublin Dancer 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #8 Midnight Lady 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Miss Nicki J 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Sheza Eyeopener 6-1 4th


6th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Fast Escape 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Golden Bayers 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Best Value: #2 Pirate Flag 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 One Bye Two 3-1 2nd


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Saint of Saints 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Small Town Cop 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Olympic Blue 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Macho Sox 8-1 8th


8th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Herbies Thunder 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #6 Show and Tell 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Ladies Man 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Better Luck 5-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Black Tie 6-1 2nd


P6 Grid:

3: 2-5 (A), 1 (B), 3-7 (C)
4: 3-6 (A), 8 (B), 2-5-10 (C)
5: 5-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
6: 9 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
7: 1 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), 6 (B), 7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x1x2x2 = 144 x $2 = $288
Full (A/B/C): $200 ($296 with 4&6 as A's in 8th)


P4 Grid:

5: 5-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
6: 9 (A), 4 (B), 2-6-7 (C)
7: 1-5 (A), 4-8 (B), 9-10 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 7-11 (B), 8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
Full (A/B/C): $68 (With $1 All A's Play)


Good luck!
Steve

BOOM goes the DYNAMITE!!!

Great job in the 7th:eek:

Congrats and thanks as always!!

👍👍🍻🍻🍻👏👏👏👏🐴🐴🐴🐴Great job Steve, thanks!!

Great job as always. I was wondering how you structured the tri and super ticket in the 7th.

Great job today Steve! Awesome as usual.

I had a profitable day but I come away feeling 'ho hum' about what could have been. Had Trensita gotten 2nd, I would've absolutely crushed the ex & tri. Looked poised entering the turn by getting in nice position and even in mid-stretch it briefly looked that place monies were attainable. Wasn't meant to be. That's what tomorrow is for, day 21!

1-5-6-7-11 pay off in P6..

Anything else produces $404k C/O into Friday..

Guess they hit the all ticket in the 7th

Well you have a "best bet" which is semi rare. You take him first and second in the tri and super . Cost $24 for dollar tri . $48 for dollar supers. Pretty standard faire

1&5 are both 30-1.
Worth a flyer ?

Carryover!

$303k @DelMarRacing DBL C/O Friday! Thanks Herbie..

Larry, Rush.. Thanks guys. That was wild. Hope everyone got something out of it.

K/S..

THX! Bama has it right.. Really liked the Rice stable & work mate of Big Thrill most -- hence the Best Bet style caps -- and keyed her in the top slots in .50 tris with the other tabs. Don't play supers myself so that was all I got out of it.

Typically I bet a Best Value type like Chinchilla Dust to win and backwheel in exactas, but I was finishing the Del Mar writeup and didn't take notice of how long she was until I heard her name at first call.

Was a great result and hope many benefitted..

Mike.. I hear you. Don't fret. Trensita was a very playable key. Looked long and hard at her. 80% of the fields in these turf races have pay slot capability. Keep firing!

Tough horse to find. First turf with the Chester House mare the 'angle' but still...

What was strange was the odd combo of covered horses with an obvious player like Herbie uncovered.