Derby Trail Forums - FRI - Churchill Downs (Oaks Day R1-R12)

Happy Oaks Day

Churchill Downs POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM

R1 - OC 75k/N1X

#2 Chide (4-1) 2ND
#8 Pleasant Tales (5-1)
#5 Kathballu (5-2) 3RD
#3 Opening Act (4-1)

R2 - MSW 62k (Turf 8F)

#1 Zealous Madame (20-1)
#4 Killer Partner (5-2) WON $8.20
#2 Sawsan (8-1) 2ND
#3 Seoul Gold (15-1)

R3 - OC 75k/N1X

#8 Curalina (7-2) $4.40
#6 Garden Princess (5-2) 4TH
#7 Affect (5-1)
#5 Distraction (12-1) 3RD

R4 - MSW 62k (Turf 8F)

#2 Diva Express (6-1) 3RD
#5 Counterfactual (9-2)
#3 Taylor Lane (5-1)
#1 Heart of Midway (6-1)

R5 - OC 62k/N2X

#4 Ducasa (8-1) 4TH
#5 Elusive Fate (7-2) 2ND
#11 Zeven (5-1) 3RD
#3 Ambusher (9-2)

PK4 - 1 2 3 4 9 / 6 7 8 / 2 5 / 4 5 11 = $45 for $.50

R6 - G3 Edgewood (Turf 8.5F)

#1 Quality Rocks (3-1) - Looks to get a cozy stalk and pounce trip. 2ND
#4 My Year Is a Day (Fr) (5-2) - Motion always solid with Euro runner 1st time.
#7 Flying Tipat (30-1) - Lays back and makes a run for minor award.
#5 Lady Zuzu (15-1) - 1st time lasix could help and she'll be towards the front. 3RD

R7 - G1 La Troienne

#5 Sheer Drama (3-1) - She's been a new mare in 2015. Forwardly placed throughout. 2ND
#2 My Miss Sophia (7-2) - Pletcher starts her in G1 for comeback. Much confidence.
#8 Molly Morgan (4-1) - Loves this surface and tries hard every time. WON $13.00
#9 Frivolous (12-1) - Should bounce back with a better performance.

PK4 - 2 3 12 / 4 5 11 / 1 4 / 2 5 8 9 = $36 for $.50

R8 - G2 Alysheba

#2 Protonico (7-5) - G1 caliber runner should take it to them early and often. WON $4.80
#7 Honor Code (8-5) - Great comeback and now healthy.
#3 Neck 'n Neck (10-1) - Horse for course and they better bring their "A" game. 3RD
#6 Midnight Cello (15-1) - You'll probably see him late.

R9 - G3 Turf Sprint (Turf 5F)

#10 Power Alert (Aus) (5-1) - A firm course is all this Aussie needs. WON $12.40
#3 Heitai (4-1) - La Bred is the quickest and must be reeled in.
#11 Something Extra (3-1) - Would have to duplicate last to contend. 3RD
#12 Undrafted (7-2) - Can't catch a break lately with all the outside posts. 2ND

R10 - G3 Eight Belles

#7 Lavender Chrissie (12-1) - West Point grey filly was ultra impressive in most recent and 2nd & 3rd place finishers came back and won.
#12 Taylor S (4-1) - She's battle tested and will have options from outside draw.
#8 Enchanting Lady (4-1) - Improving Baffert filly should love the trip.
#1 Callback (3-1) - Not crazy about the post, but she's talented enough to overcome it. 2ND

R11 - G1 Kentucky Oaks

#1 Forever Unbridled (15-1) - Barn knows how to win this race and she could be set for a peak performance.
#2 Shook Up (30-1) - Heading in the right direction and could easily take another step forward with the added ground.
#3 Include Betty (20-1) - Benefited for a total collapse at Oaklawn. Underneath at best for me.
#4 Eskenformoney (20-1) - Victim of the quick sand track at Gulfstream in latest and should be towards the front.
#5 Condo Commando (4-1) - Seems to always get an advantageous trip, but she'll have to earn it here.
#6 Angela Renee (15-1) - She hasn't improved much since last year and has been beaten by 3 of these this year.
#7 Lovely Maria (5-1) - Things are coming together at the right time and expect a big performance with 1st run on the closers.
#8 I'm a Chatterbox (4-1) - Great meet at Fair Grounds, but question her on this stage at low odds.
#9 Money'soncharlotte (50-1) - She's simply a cut below these fillies. Should go to PARX.
#10 Oceanwave (30-1) - Made a huge late move despite a troubled trip in most recent and she just needs to right set up to light up the toteboard.
#11 Sarah Sis (30-1) - She should insure a solid pace and gets a huge upgrade in the irons.
#12 Stellar Wind (7-2) - Hard to knock her, but the Cali fillies do not measure up well for me.
#13 Birdatthewire (6-1) - She has overcome bad trips and I know she'll relish the 9 panels.
#14 Puca (15-1) - Has taken some money and will need a perfect ride from Alvarado to contend.

Selections:

#10 Oceanwave (30-1)
#13 Birdatthewire (6-1) 5TH
#7 Lovely Maria (5-1) WON $14.60
#1 Forever Unbridled (15-1)
#8 I'm a Chatterbox (4-1) 3RD

PK6 - 1 4 / 5 / 2 7 / 10 / 1 7 8 12 / 1 7 8 10 13 = $160

PK4 - 2 3 7 / 10 / 1 2 3 7 8 12 / 1 2 7 8 10 13 = $54 for $.50 PAID $379.00 FOR $.50

OAKS / DERBY Double - - 1 2 7 8 10 13 / 3 8 9 = $18 X 4 = $72

OAKS / DERBY Double - Press - $10 - 7 10 13 / 8 9

OAKS / WOODFORD / DERBY - PK3 $1 - 1 2 7 8 10 13 / 7 8 9 / 3 8 9 = $54

R12 - MSW 62k

#1 Paid Up Subscriber (3-1) WON $4.80
#2 Flying Jibe (8-1)
#8 Titfortat (15-1)

Good Racing Luck