Derby Trail Forums - 4/25: Gulfstream Park ($1.4MM Must-Pay Rainbow 6 C/O)

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MCLM/$12.5k, 3+, 6.5f (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

$1.4MM Rainbow 6 Must Pay C/O..

Opener offers enticing fave in B.F. Forever, but these are $12.5k maidens after all and he's 0/12 coming in. Of the less apparent, Dragon Master (10-1) dangles 'Bet Me' sign off a debut that will scare some, but bow on turf a ruse and now switches barns while adding hood for focus. Note Alvarez is 3 for 7 ($3.34) for the obscured, high percentage outfit and you have a recipe for larceny..

Best Value: #8 Dragon Master 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 B. F. Forever 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Titotime 9-2 6th
Super Add: #12 Lavandero 5-1 10th

Rainbow Considers: 1 ($56.20)-6-11

7th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/108' (P5, P3, DD)

Not going to get cute here and will simply cover the top 5..

Best Value: #1 Bull Ensign 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Cordero 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #3 As You Like It 5-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Boca Scuttlebutt 7-2 5th

Rainbow Consider: 8

8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7.5f-T/108' (P4, P3, DD)

Majestic Breeze wasn't disgraced in ALW try off $30k MCLM breakthrough and now returns to selling company. Frankie and Memories are the obvious other players, but O'Connell's Space Cowboy (15-1) is as good at triple the price..

Most Likely: #8 Majestic Breeze 7-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #10 My Space Cowboy 15-1 -
Next Best: #5 Boom Boom Frankie 5-1 -
Exotics Use: #3 All My Memories 7-2 2nd

Rainbow Consider: 2

9th: 29th Miami Mile (G3), 3+, 1m-T/108' (P3, DD)

Looks to be no shortage of pace on for this so can't be convinced that any of the frontrunners can steal it. Steady Grand Tito stalks and goes and Firestone's Middleburg may break through in first Graded Stakes opportunity. If you wanted to narrow your play, using just those 2 may be enough..

Most Likely: #6 Grand Tito 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Middleburg Late SCR (Surface)
Best Value: #3 Rerun 20-1 WON ($44.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Shatak 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Storming Inti 5-1 4th

$1 Exacta (3-6) Paid $68.90
$1 Trifecta (3-6-4) Paid $477.50
$1 Superfecta (3-6-4-7) Paid $1,503.60

10th: 2nd Powder Break, F&M-3+, 1m-T/36' (DD)

Discreet Marq owns multi-length class edge on this group and given challenges in first legs of skein, feels like reliable single from Clement barn that should have her ready off series of drills. Charlie A (20-1) a sneaky price to get into the exotics. Surtsey (20-1) too..

Most Likely: #10 Discreet Marq Late SCR (Surface)
Best Value: #8 Charlie A 20-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Baffle Me 7-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #11 Surtsey 20-1 6th

11th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Feels likely that Bluegrass Jam drops 50% in here for Walder as sequence 'single' for owner Ron Paolucci..

Most Likely: #3 Bluegrass Jam 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Megalith 7-2 -
Best Value: #9 Wrol Up 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Be a Bull 5-1 WON ($15.20)
Hi-5 Play: #1 Mybrotherjohnnya 12-1 -

P6 Grid:

6: 2-8-10-12
7: 1-2-3-7-8
8: 3-5-8-10
9: 1-6 (3-4-7)
10: 10/9 (Post time fave wins for SCR'd Discreet Marq)
11: 3

Full: 4x5x4x5x1x1 = 400 x .20 = $80
Small: 4x5x4x2x1x1 = 160 x .20 = $32

Good luck!
Steve