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-   -   1/4: Santa Anita ($392k P5 C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=56133)

Kasept 01-04-2015 07:02 AM

1/4: Santa Anita ($392k P5 C/O)
 
SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$392k P5 C/O starts here..

Inside/outside runners look like only ready cross-outs. #'s 2-6 all have degrees of eligibility. KD/Powell look like controlling speed with returnee No Contigency (7-2), while Oligarch the other candidate for front end responsibilites.

Most Likely: #7 No Contingency 7-2 8th
Best Value: #2 McKenzies Way 6-1 WON ($16.40)
Next Best: #5 When We Met 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Oligarch 4-1 3rd


2nd: MSW, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Ideally a spot to go narrow and here the inside/outside players look a notch above the rest with Sadler's War Destiny looking improved in the mornings off the November debut..

Most Likely: #8 War Destiny 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Logan's Moon 2-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Moonlight Meeting 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Wade 4-1 6th


3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Brad Free relays that All Star Bub was private purchase moved to Dorf. Should improve and already jumped forward in first dirt try. Suva broke MDN on grass but may be a better dirt horse..

Most Likely: #6 All Star Bub 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Suva Harbor 4-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Olivia's Greatdane 5-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Miss Mandate 4-1 2nd


4th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$82k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #7 Metaboss 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #12 Air Nashoba 9-2 7th
Best Value: #10 Pretentious 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Stuffed Animal 5-1 DNF-Pulled Up


5th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Kill Shot 7-5 WIN ($3.80)
Next Best: #7 Memphis 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 He's On His Toes 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Willie B Awesome 4-1 DNF-Refused


<$100 P5 Grid:

1: 2-7 (A), 3-5-6 (B), 4 (C)
2: 8 (A), 1 (B), 2-6-7 (C)
3: 6 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C)
4: 7-12 (A), 3-4-10 (B), 6 (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 3-4 (B), 5 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $95
Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x5x4 = 200 x .50 = $100

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 1 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 6,7 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 1 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 8 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 6,7 - $9.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 1 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 6,7 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 1 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 3,4 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 2,6,7 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 1,3,4 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 6 with 6,7 - $2.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 5 - $2.00

Total: $95.00


$75 P4 Grid:

2: 1-8 (A), - (B), 2-6-7 (C)
3: 6 (A), 1-4 (B), 3 (C)
4: 7-12 (A), 3-4-6-10 (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 3-4 (B), 5 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $72 (With $1 all 'A' play)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,4 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 3,4,6,10 with 6,7 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,4 with 3,4,6,10 with 6,7 - $16.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,4 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 3,4,6,10 with 3,4 - $8.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,7 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 3 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 7,12 with 5 - $2.00

Total: $72.00


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 01-04-2015 12:46 PM

SA SCR/CHG'S

Easy Goer Otis 01-04-2015 03:45 PM

Used your grid in Formulator and have one ticket still alive. Need:

7, 12
6, 7

I already owe one Derby Trailer (SaratogaDew) dinner...happy to make it two!

Cheers!

Otis

Benny 01-04-2015 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Easy Goer Otis (Post 1011363)
Used your grid in Formulator and have one ticket still alive. Need:

7, 12
6, 7

I already owe one Derby Trailer (SaratogaDew) dinner...happy to make it two!

Cheers!

Otis

GL otis, I'm on it w/you for 6 ; here r wp's for 6 - 7 1420.3 2193.6

for $1,

Easy Goer Otis 01-04-2015 04:28 PM

Good luck, Benny!

Throwing $20 win bets down on the rest of them. #nervoushedge

O

Easy Goer Otis 01-04-2015 04:37 PM

Would actually get paid more on the #2 40-1 with my $20 win bet. #irony :)

Easy Goer Otis 01-04-2015 04:40 PM

Steve: I owe you dinner, amigo! Let me know if you ever get to Chicago.

This is the most profitable website I've ever frequented. You guys are good!

Cheers,

Otis :D

Benny 01-04-2015 05:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Easy Goer Otis (Post 1011373)
Would actually get paid more on the #2 40-1 with my $20 win bet. #irony :)

unreal, and it wouldnot have been an irs #

My thanks to steve too on the 2 in the r1 and 1 in r3, which i took the push on.

dellinger63 01-04-2015 05:07 PM

Well done

Kitan 01-04-2015 05:16 PM

Nice work all!

casp0555 01-04-2015 05:17 PM

Nice job Steve!

herkhorse 01-04-2015 05:21 PM

Nice work Steve!!

knickslions2 01-04-2015 05:23 PM

Well done Steve


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