Derby Trail Forums - 1/4: Santa Anita ($392k P5 C/O)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$392k P5 C/O starts here..

Inside/outside runners look like only ready cross-outs. #'s 2-6 all have degrees of eligibility. KD/Powell look like controlling speed with returnee No Contigency (7-2), while Oligarch the other candidate for front end responsibilites.

Most Likely: #7 No Contingency 7-2 8th
Best Value: #2 McKenzies Way 6-1 WON ($16.40)
Next Best: #5 When We Met 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Oligarch 4-1 3rd

2nd: MSW, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Ideally a spot to go narrow and here the inside/outside players look a notch above the rest with Sadler's War Destiny looking improved in the mornings off the November debut..

Most Likely: #8 War Destiny 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Logan's Moon 2-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Moonlight Meeting 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Wade 4-1 6th

3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Brad Free relays that All Star Bub was private purchase moved to Dorf. Should improve and already jumped forward in first dirt try. Suva broke MDN on grass but may be a better dirt horse..

Most Likely: #6 All Star Bub 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Suva Harbor 4-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Olivia's Greatdane 5-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Miss Mandate 4-1 2nd

4th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$82k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #7 Metaboss 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #12 Air Nashoba 9-2 7th
Best Value: #10 Pretentious 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Stuffed Animal 5-1 DNF-Pulled Up

5th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Kill Shot 7-5 WIN ($3.80)
Next Best: #7 Memphis 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 He's On His Toes 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Willie B Awesome 4-1 DNF-Refused

<$100 P5 Grid:

1: 2-7 (A), 3-5-6 (B), 4 (C)
2: 8 (A), 1 (B), 2-6-7 (C)
3: 6 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C)
4: 7-12 (A), 3-4-10 (B), 6 (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 3-4 (B), 5 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $95
Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x5x4 = 200 x .50 = $100

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 1 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 6,7 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 1 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 8 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 6,7 - $9.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 1 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 6,7 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 1 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 3,4 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 2,6,7 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 1,3,4 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 6 with 6,7 - $2.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 5 - $2.00

Total: $95.00

$75 P4 Grid:

2: 1-8 (A), - (B), 2-6-7 (C)
3: 6 (A), 1-4 (B), 3 (C)
4: 7-12 (A), 3-4-6-10 (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 3-4 (B), 5 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $72 (With $1 all 'A' play)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,4 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 3,4,6,10 with 6,7 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,4 with 3,4,6,10 with 6,7 - $16.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,4 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 3,4,6,10 with 3,4 - $8.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,7 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 3 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 7,12 with 5 - $2.00

Total: $72.00

Good luck!
Steve