11/8: NHCQUALIFY.COM ~ Play-a-long Contest
 

11/8/2014 -- Designated Contest Races

DRF PP'S

As of Friday morning, 276 entries remaining: http://www.nhcqualify.com/

Event 1 Churchill #6 (3:06p ET)
Event 2 Aqueduct #7 (3:14p ET)
Event 3 Aqueduct #8 (3:43p ET)
Event 4 Gulfstream #8 (3:58p ET)
Event 5 Churchill #8 (4:06p ET)
Event 6 Gulfstream #9 (4:27p ET)
Event 7 Del Mar #4 (4:30p ET)
Event 8 Churchill #9 (4:37p ET)
Event 9 Del Mar #5 (5:00p ET)
Event 10 Gulfstream #10 (5:05p ET)
Event 11 Del Mar #6 (5:30p ET)
Event 12 Del Mar #7 (6:00p ET)

Event 1 Churchill #6 - #4 Zadina
Event 2 Aqueduct #7 - #5 Danza Cavallo (Fr) $3.60 Place
Event 3 Aqueduct #8 - #1 Touching My Toes $3.30 Place
Event 4 Gulfstream #8 - #2 Sr. Quiqueyano
Event 5 Churchill #8 - #5 More Than Beauty
Event 6 Gulfstream #9 - #1 Firespike WON $5.20 $3.40
Event 7 Del Mar #4 - #5 Setsuko
Event 8 Churchill #9 - #4 Villandry WON $10.60 $4.80
Event 9 Del Mar #5 - #1 River Lemon
Event 10 Gulfstream #10 - #2 Sum Roar
Event 11 Del Mar #6 - #13 Inspeight of Us
Event 12 Del Mar #7 - #7 Honey Ride

Almost pulled the trigger on this contest if it wasn't for my son's soccer game in the middle of the races.

Good Racing Luck

Event 1 Churchill #6 - #7 Corporate Culture
Event 2 Aqueduct #7 - #6 Hellenistic
Event 3 Aqueduct #8 - #5 Legally Bay
Event 4 Gulfstream #8 - #4 East Hall
Event 5 Churchill #8 - #6 Sassy Kiss
Event 6 Gulfstream #9 - #8 Hubba Shake
Event 7 Del Mar #4 - #6 Snaps
Event 8 Churchill #9 - #11 Under Control
Event 9 Del Mar #5 - #8 Dress Code
Event 10 Gulfstream #10 - #12 Leap Year Luck
Event 11 Del Mar #6- #12 Suva Harbor
Event 12 Del Mar #7-#6 Kirov

6th cd #4 zadina
7th aqu#9meri shaka
8th aqu#3 official
8th gp #2 sr quisquesono
8th cd #1 brown eyed mary
9th gp #8 hubba shake
4th dmr #8 pure loyalt
9th cd #5 guys reward
5th dmr #3 dreamy kid
10th gp #2 sum roar
6th dmr ##3 scandal
7th dmr # 7 honey ride

My Picks
 

Event 1 Churchill #6 - #7 Corporate Culture
Event 2 Aqueduct #7 - #1 Aigue Marine (GB) Won $15.20 $6.00
Event 3 Aqueduct #8 - #4 Kelly's Prize
Event 4 Gulfstream #8 - #1 Megamove
Event 5 Churchill #8 - #1 Brown Eyed Mary
Event 6 Gulfstream #9 - #5 Chocolate Wildcat
Event 7 Del Mar #4 - #1 Press Baron (GB)
Event 8 Churchill #9 - #11 Under Control (Brz)
Event 9 Del Mar #5 - #3 Dreamy Kid
Event 10 Gulfstream #10 - #12 Leap Year Luck Won $17.20 $8.80
Event 11 Del Mar #6 - #3 Scandal
Event 12 Del Mar #7 - #2 Only Josie Knows

Total $47.20

Event 1 Churchill #6 ~ #7 Corporate Culture
Event 2 Aqueduct #7 ~ #5 Danza Cavallo - $3.60
Event 3 Aqueduct #8 ~ #1 Touching My Toes - $3.30
Event 4 Gulfstream #8 ~ #3 Schivarelli
Event 5 Churchill #8 ~ #4 You Bought Her
Event 6 Gulfstream #9 ~ #1 Firespike - $5.20, $3.40
Event 7 Del Mar #4 ~ #3 Ethnic Dance
Event 8 Churchill #9 ~ #4 Villandry -$10.60, $4.80
Event 9 Del Mar #5 ~ #9 Street Serenade - $14.60, $6.60
Event 10 Gulfstream #10 ~ #12 Leap Year Luck - $17.20, $8.80
Event 11 Del Mar #6 ~ #6 Sweeter Than Candy
Event 12 Del Mar #7 ~ #6 Kirov

Total = $78.10

Event 1 Churchill #6 - #7 Corporate Culture
Event 2 Aqueduct #7 - #3 Tabreed
Event 3 Aqueduct #8 - #1 Touching My Toes
Event 4 Gulfstream #8 - #4 East Hall
Event 5 Churchill #8 - #1 Brown Eyed Mary
Event 6 Gulfstream #9 - #1 Firespike
Event 7 Del Mar #4 - #5 Setsuko
Event 8 Churchill #9 - #4 Villandry
Event 9 Del Mar #5 - #1 River Lemon
Event 10 Gulfstream #10 - #1 Coco's Wildcat
Event 11 Del Mar #6- #9 Dyna Star
Event 12 Del Mar #7-#4 Prettypriceygirl

GLA!

Event 1 Churchill #6 (3:06p ET) #9 Maid on a Mission
Event 2 Aqueduct #7 (3:14p ET) #6 Hellenistic
Event 3 Aqueduct #8 (3:43p ET) #8 Legally Bay
Event 4 Gulfstream #8 (3:58p ET) #3 Schiavarelli
Event 5 Churchill #8 (4:06p ET) #6 Sassy Kiss
Event 6 Gulfstream #9 (4:27p ET) #1 Firespike
Event 7 Del Mar #4 (4:30p ET) #1 Press Baron
Event 8 Churchill #9 (4:37p ET) #5 Guys Reward
Event 9 Del Mar #5 (5:00p ET) #5 Perfect Set
Event 10 Gulfstream #10 (5:05p ET) #9 Moment of Delight
Event 11 Del Mar #6 (5:30p ET) #6 Sweeter Thancandy
Event 12 Del Mar #7 (6:00p ET) #9 Grazenette

20-1 shot wins the last race. The leader after the first 11 races falls to 45th place. Good thing those 44 players all loved the same long shot at the end and I am sure it was based on solid handicapping angles.

This is why live money rules.

Paul

Good going Arletta !!!

I had never played or "played along" on this format before. I used to do the live money events at Philly Park and Delaware Park years ago before the internet. That was when the NHC was at Penn National. I can believe all those people going "all in" on that last race, why not ?

Thank you but I am sure I still would have finished way down the list.

Welcome to D.T :)

I was in 5th, fell to 64th. In hindsight, I should have played that bomb too, cause the low priced horses couldn't hurt me really. At this point I need tour points to crack the top 150 (sitting at 147 as I type this) to qualify more than finishing the in the top 4. The horse had finished ITM 5/6 on Synthetic if I am not mistaken

That's rough.. Discussed this with Fornatale yesterday on ATR (and Tuesday Night on the Night School Contest segment with him and Chamblin). The NHC recognizes the random aspect of the "walk off home run'' but maintains that the leap froggers still needed to be in striking distance to nab top finishes.

Is the lock down/pick and pray format the solution to alleviate the Hail Mary finishes? Or how about the first half of the slate a post time decision with a lock down for the second half?

I believe one of the Vegas big $ tourneys had a side category for consistancy, where winners were rewarded for their consistant good handicappig throughout the tourney. I have both won a couple and lost a bunch with stabbers hitting . Maybe some sort off formula can be made in the contest to build in a reward for consistant play to overcome the problem. I dislike the Pick /Pray /lockdown contests as i think you are predicting instead of live valuation of races. only good for those at work who cannot play live.IMO.

I was extremely upset right after it happened, mostly because I thought I had a spot locked up based on points, and maybe had a chance to auto-qualify. The horse wasn't really too much of stab if you looked at his PP's. In reality, its more of a surprise that he was 22-1 and not 12-1. I actually would have been better off to be in 30th or so cause I would have played it too. At any rate, that was the first time I was in that situation so late in a live contest. What I should have done was calculated the minimum odds I needed in order to get points. So I was $20 ahead of the 25th place guy, so that means I should have started my search with horses 7-1 or greater. The race went off with 4 horses in that range. One was a total toss, but I would have narrowed my selection process down to 3 entries.

Anyway, lesson learned. Obviously in a situation where you are trying to win the contest, my strategy isn't the best, but it this point, I just need to finish in the top 10% one more time. I fell to 149 this week with the new standings, so I was jumped by 2 people.

In my opinion, the lockdown format will go a long way towards solving the headaches. At least then people will have longshots they actually like.

As someone who has been on both sides of these big price in the last results there really is no way to avoid these kind of finishes. There really was not many big prices on this day and just because it happens at the end it shouldn't matter. There really isn't any difference between someone playing a goofy cap horse early in the tourney vs late, it's just a lot more noticeable at the end when it's all on the line. You still have to have a near perfect day on these tourneys when it's 1 seat for every 65 players.

The difference is most likely 100 people won't have it in race 3 like they do in race 12.

I do agree that it's part of the game, and you have to be aware of the possibility. I think that was the first contest I have played where a cap hit in the very last race.