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-   -   7/21: Saratoga (Day 4; Shine Again) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=54634)

Kasept 07-21-2014 07:59 AM

7/21: Saratoga (Day 4; Shine Again)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky read with 4 second time starters and 3 turnbacks..

Best Value: #2 Dusk to Dawn 5-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Shimba 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Greg's Fourwheeler 6-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Keen's Cupla 5-1 5th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Sashay 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1a Hooligan 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Partisan Politics 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Rainha Da Bateria WON ($15.00)
Super Add: #4 Riddle Me This 20-1 7th


3rd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Annie Walker 5-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Corinthian Glory 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Wraith 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Another Incident 3-1 WON ($5.90)


4th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Butkennyrun, from Glens Falls' Kerry Metiver, is competitive already and gets first Lasix. He's 30-1 and there's nothing scary in here..

Most Likely: #10 Nelios 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Butkennyrun 30-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Artemus Paperboy 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Hey Kid 8-1 SCR


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Typically tough turf sprint..

Most Likely: #4 Awakino Cat 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Non Stop 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Isn'tlovejustgrand 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Thomas Hill 4-1 4th


6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Sweetdreamsaboutme makes 3rd career start, gets first Lasix today and may float well above the 6-1 ML. Abel can't drop completely out of it though..

Best Value: #8 Sweetdreamsaboutme 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Dixie Gem 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Bi Light of Day 7-2 7th
Super Add: #9 Yacantmakethisup 20-1 9th


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Sandy'z Slew 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #9 Dreamsgonewild 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 With Exultation 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Pretension 15-1 5th


8th: Shine Again-R, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Down to 4 but they have a litany of accomplishments between them. Can't imagine Rosario letting J. Ortiz get away on Bridgehampton..

Most Likely: #2 Grace Hall 2nd
Best Value: #3 Bridgehampton 4th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #4 Honor the Kitten 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Dominate 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Belly of the Whale 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Mitcho 15-1 9th


$36 P4 Play:

Running late.. Here's straight play..

6: 4-8
7: 2-9-10-11
8: 2-3-4
9: 3-4-8

2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 07-21-2014 10:16 AM

SAR SCR/CHG's

ScottJ 07-21-2014 04:31 PM

Love Saratoga, but these last three days have been a test of the adage "you only need one to have a great meet!". Waiting for the one already!

tanner12oz 07-21-2014 06:46 PM

I've been waiting a few years now! Keeneland, toga and del mar are must plays even though seemingly impossible


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