Derby Trail Forums - 5/21: Belmont Park ($26k C/O)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-OC/N2X , F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Yes the top pair should get you through the opening leg, but the price options are within striking distance..

Most Likely: #9 Neck of the Moon 3-1 (A) 6th
Best Value: #1 Invading Humor 12-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #10 Desert Bliss 6-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Ornellia 12-1 (C) 8th

5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sea Trial 5-2 (A) 4th
Next Best: #1e KMc/Darley entry 6-5 (B) 5th/6th

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Papy 3-1 (A) 4th
Best Value: #1 Away Game 5-1 (B) 6th
Next Best: #3 Legendary 5-2 (B) WON-DH ($3.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Spartiatis 10-1 (C) 7th

7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Murky starter group. This feels like a trap..

Most Likely: #3 Accomplish First 2-1 (A) WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #5 Rumble Doll 6-1 (B) 4th
Next Best: #6 Star Magnolia 4-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Another Incident 5-2 (C) 2nd

8th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 1m-T

With an uncertain pace up front, there's no guarantee that Filimbi arrives on time. Sheppard's ATR visit provided confidence that Gathering can return to the strong effort she delivered at GP in January..

Most Likely: #3 Gathering 6-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #8 Filimbi 2-1 (A) WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #1 Unbelievable Dream 12-1 (C) 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Scampering 3-1 (C) 2nd

9th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT

After Point Roll, this turns into a grab bag..

Most Likely: #7 Point Roll 2-1 (A) WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #6 Manoffire 8-1 (B)
Best Value: #4 Eastcoast Lights 30-1 (C) Late SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Vagarious 10-1 (C)

<$75 P6 Play:

4: 9
5: 1-5
6: 1-2-3
7: 3-5-6
8: 3-8
9: 7

1x2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x $2 = $72

P4 Play:

6th: 2 (A), 1-3 (B), 7 (C)
7th: 3 (A), 5-6 (B), 2 (C)
8th: 3-8 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
9th: 7 (A), 3-4/Late SCR-6 (B), 1-2-8-9 (C)

$0.50 Pick 4 (3,6/3/7,8,9/4,7,10,12,13,14,15) Paid = $38.25

Good luck!
Steve