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-   -   3/29: Meydan (Dubai World Cup) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=53536)

Kasept 03-29-2014 06:28 AM

3/29: Meydan (Dubai World Cup)
 
MEYDAN -- DUBAI WORLD CUP


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: Godolphin Mile (G2), 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Shuruq 3-1 8th
Best Value: #11 Mull of Killough 30-1 12th
Next Best: #15 Variety Club 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Soft Falling Rain 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Pentitent 40-1 14th


3rd: Dubai Gold Cup (G2), 2m (P3, DD)

Cavalryman appears much the horse to beat, so a good spot to stack up some viable prices underneath..

Most Likely: #7 Cavalryman 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #15 Simenon 20-1 15th
Next Best: #8 Joshua Tree 10-1 11th
Exotics Use: #6 Songcraft 6-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Now We Can 20-1 12th


4th: UAE Derby (G2), 9.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Despite Giovanni Boldini being made the ML fave, the strong candidate here is Godolphin's in form Aussie Long John..

Most Likely: #4 Long John 3-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Giovanni Boldini 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Asmar 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Emirates Flyer 30-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Toast of New York 20-1 WON ($25.20)


P3 Play:

2: 5-10-11-15
3: 7
4: 4-5-9

4x1x3 = $12


5th: Al Quoz Sprint (G1), 5f-T (P3, DD)

An upset of Shea Shea would be shocking..

Most Likely: #12 Shea Shea 1-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Amber Sky 8-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #2 Sole Power 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Ahtoug 12-1 2nd


P3 Play:

3: 6-7-8-15
4: 4-5-9
5: 12

4x3x2 = $12


6th: Golden Shaheen (G1), 6f (P3, DD)

Hard not to stay behind the 8yo Reynaldothewizard (Speightstown)..

Most Likely: #5 Reynaldothewizard 7-2 4th
Next Best: #12 Rich Tapestry 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Sterling City 20-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Complicate 6-1 7th


P3 Play:

4: 4-5-9
5: 12
6: 4-5-8-12

3x1x4 = $12


7th: Dubai Duty Free (G1), 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Just a Way 9-2 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #12 Logotype 30-1 6th
Next Best: #4 The Fugue 3-1 11th
Exotics Use: #11 Vercingetorix 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Tokei Halo 30-1 7th


<$25 P3 Play:

5: 2-8-12
6: 4-5-8-12
7: 2

3x4x1 = $12 $1 Pick 3 (8/4/2) Paid $144.80


8th: Sheema Classic (G1), 12f-T (DD)

Found this very tricky wanting to use a number of intriguing prices while trying to exclude Magician..

Most Likely: #12 Gentildonna 4-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #3 Denim and Ruby 8-1 10th
Best Value: #14 Dominant 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Meandre 15-1 7th
Super Add: #13 Empoli 15-1 4th


P3 Play:

6: 4-5-8-12
7: 2
8: 3-4-8-12-13-14

4x1x6 = $24 $1 Pick 3 (4/2/12) Paid $125.40


9th: Dubai World Cup (G1), 10f

Most Likely: #8 Military Attack 8-1 10th
Best Value: #1 Prince Bishop 10-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Ruler of The World 9-2 13th
Exotics Use: #4 Akeed Mofeed 10-1 5th


P3 Play:

7: 2-4-12
8: 3-12
9: 1-4-8-12

3x2x4 = $24


Good luck!
Steve

lazytom 03-29-2014 09:10 AM

Objection withdrawn. Thats a different world. I like that. Just bad racing luck.

Kasept 03-29-2014 09:32 AM

VERY interesting Derby winner in Toast of New York and Kentucky Derby absolutely appears on his agenda.. By Kingmambo son Thewayyouare.

Kasept 03-29-2014 09:52 AM

Toast of New York dam Claire Soleil-IRE a daughter of 1989 Whittingham terror Claire Marine who won G1's in Matriarch & Beverly Hills as well as Beverly D before it was graded.. Went 12/7-1-2 for $801k in lone domestic campaign.

herkhorse 03-29-2014 10:02 AM

nice handicapping there Steve, :tro: hope you got some :$:

Kasept 03-29-2014 10:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by herkhorse (Post 971186)
nice handicapping there Steve, :tro: hope you got some :$:

THX Tom.. I'm nibbling around but not banging things home.

ADJMK 03-29-2014 11:47 AM

Good job Steve. Nice when your single is a romping winner. Way to hit the P3

ScottJ 03-29-2014 11:48 AM

Steve - what a terrific single with Just a Way in Dubai Duty Free - nice single in the rolling Pick 3 action.

I liked Just a Way over the undefeated Vercingetorix (SAF) and The Fugue (layoff). The prerace interview where Michael Stoute indicated that Dank was not 100% coming into the race really sealed the deal for me on Just a Way. Despite being half-way 'round the globe, the information from the on-site reporting (Simon Bray and others) has been solid quality.

lazytom 03-29-2014 11:49 AM

Steve- Nice job. Congrats to you.

ScottJ 03-29-2014 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ScottJ (Post 971207)
Steve - what a terrific single with Just a Way in Dubai Duty Free - nice single in the rolling Pick 3 action.

I liked Just a Way over the undefeated Vercingetorix (SAF) and The Fugue (layoff). The prerace interview where Michael Stoute indicated that Dank was not 100% coming into the race really sealed the deal for me on Just a Way. Despite being half-way 'round the globe, the information from the on-site reporting (Simon Bray and others) has been solid quality.

Just saw the prices - the Pick 3 returned $289.60 for a ducat. Good luck with the follow-up into Meydan's eighth race.

ADJMK 03-29-2014 12:19 PM

La Madrina just romped at GP. Shug at 7f with a firster

tanner12oz 03-29-2014 12:27 PM

Looked like a bad spill at meydan hope horse and rider are okay

moke0043 03-29-2014 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tanner12oz (Post 971222)
Looked like a bad spill at meydan hope horse and rider are okay

Looked like Mars completely flipped over the rail. Horrible....

Benny 03-29-2014 12:34 PM

Fox Sports Net live with World cup now 1 - 2;30pm eastern.

Serling Mig in studio,Simon at track

Benny 03-29-2014 12:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moke0043 (Post 971223)
Looked like Mars completely flipped over the rail. Horrible....

Mars stayed in track , Hughes over the rail on Fox replay

ScottJ 03-29-2014 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moke0043 (Post 971223)
Looked like Mars completely flipped over the rail. Horrible....

TVG is reporting via Pat Cummings that Mars suffered a heart attack and has passed. Simon Bray was reporting that Richard Hughes has returned to the jockey's quarters.

ScottJ 03-29-2014 01:14 PM

Although I did not have any type of stretch run with Hokko Tarumae (looked done at 1600m), I have to tip my cap to the public selection of Andy Serling on the Fox broadcast. He called out his top choice as Mukhadram (#13, $40 Win) who was just worn down in the stretch by eventual winner, African Story ($1500.00+ exacta combination).

[Post edit : Not to mention that Serling carried at $20.00 exacta winner in the previous race.]

Kasept 04-03-2014 06:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lazytom (Post 971208)
Steve- Nice job. Congrats to you.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ScottJ (Post 971207)
Steve - what a terrific single with Just a Way in Dubai Duty Free - nice single in the rolling Pick 3 action.

I liked Just a Way over the undefeated Vercingetorix (SAF) and The Fugue (layoff). The prerace interview where Michael Stoute indicated that Dank was not 100% coming into the race really sealed the deal for me on Just a Way. Despite being half-way 'round the globe, the information from the on-site reporting (Simon Bray and others) has been solid quality.

Just saw the prices - the Pick 3 returned $289.60 for a ducat. Good luck with the follow-up into Meydan's eighth race.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 971206)
Good job Steve. Nice when your single is a romping winner. Way to hit the P3

Quote:

Originally Posted by herkhorse (Post 971186)
nice handicapping there Steve, :tro: hope you got some :$:

Never got back.. Thanks guys. Thought early Saturday was great fun and it ended up being, to a great degree, the most entertaining action of the day. Took some stabs and was pleased with the results.. Hope everyone did well!


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