Derby Trail Forums - 9/25: Belmont Park (1st-9th)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Wave Theory obviously will take some beating, but there are plenty of solid competitors lurking if she missteps and a few big prices that can boost the exotics..

Most Likely: #3 Wave Theory 2-1 WON ($3.50)
Next Best: #7 Lady of Gold 7-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Rock On Baby 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Lisvernane 6-1 DNF-Lost irons

2nd: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Another event where there's a clear horse to beat in Lion D N A, but Bobby Jo is within striking range and could sit a sweet trip surveying the speeds up front. Nuffsaid Nuffsaid ran career best at Spa last time and is not impossible with another forward move. Has shown speed of late and not a 'need the lead' type, so outside pressing voyage with Jo. Ortiz easy to envision..

Most Likely: #1 Lion D N A 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Bobby Jo 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Nuffsaid Nuffsaid 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #2 House On Toilsome 8-1 4th

3rd: Jazzy, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Classy little gathering and Hennig's nice Baffle Me certainly a deserving fave. Key will be if and when pressure is applied inside from Free as a Bird and outside by My Jopia. Corsage closed into slow pace in NA debut and may be right alternative. Sounds of the City exits serious PID Masters (G2) and question is how she adjusts to 7f..

Most Likely: #3 Baffle Me 2-1 WON ($5.50)
Next Best: #4 Corsage 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Free as a Bird 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Sounds of the City 5-2 6th

4th: MCLM/$35k, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Resolute Babe 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Malibu Mudslide 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Exclusively Yours 3-1 4th
Super Add: #3 My Cousin Zinny 5-1 5th

5th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Shakeira (6-5) has to prove she's still viable and Edie (3-1) has ground-saving, pace-favorable scenario at hand..

Most Likely: #1 Edie 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Shakeira 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Sally's Dream 5-1 WON ($10.60)
Super Add: #4 Ambitoness 10-1 4th

<$75 P5 Play:

1: 3-7
2: 1-5-8
3: 1-3-4-5
4: 1-2-5
5: 1-8

2x3x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P5 Play:

2: 1-5-8
3: 1-3-4-5
4: 1-2-5
5: 1-8

3x4x3x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)

6th: CLM, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Dee Tee's My Pal of Pals returns here out of Spa win and should have plenty of pace to chase. City Zip colt broke MDN this trip/strip and needs another forward move off career best effort upstate..

Most Likely: #9 Fly Ride 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Dual Citizen 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #7 My Pal of Pals 6-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Departures 30-1 6th

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Why do you get the feeling that Eastwood is as likely to stagger home a bedraggled 4th as run off the screen?

Best Value: #6 Readytodefer 4-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Eastwood 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Ravalo 3-1 WON ($10.60)
Super Add: #3 Don Tito 7-2 4th

8th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #6 Cashleigh 5-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Bold Forest Late SCR
Exotics Use: #8 Prime Devil 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Mike and Rob 6-1 WON ($5.60)

9th: MCLM/$16k, 3+, 6f-IT

Most Likely: #9 Freight 4-1 10th
Best Value: #11 St. Sincere 5-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Southern Safari 7-2 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Moravitz 10-1 6th

<$75 P4 Plays:

6: 7-8-9
7: 2-3-5-6
8: 6-8-10/Late SCR
9: 5-7-9-11

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve