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-   -   8/16: Saratoga (Day 25-Yaddo, Saratoga Sunrise) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=51549)

Kasept 08-16-2013 06:52 AM

8/16: Saratoga (Day 25-Yaddo, Saratoga Sunrise)
 
Have to apologize immediately for missing the fact that Aarons Orient had drawn into the MSW 3rd until after the 2nd race had concluded. The Asmussen Orientate colt had been a troubled 4th in the Corfu-Pure Sensation event 7/25 and was obviously a major player in Thursday's heat after finding his way off the AE list. I hope some of you added him to the early P4 play for at least an additional $12.50 (.50), as the $378 return with All That, Mr. Starr's Report & Much Stronger was almost 50% above the parlay.

Mr. Starr's Report at 9-1 helped boost the day along, with Hot Squeeze, another Best Value notion, keying a nice MSW bingo in the 7th with May Shares and Flying K C. Slumber's comeback was very impressive in the 9th for Juddmonte and Mott ($6.00) and Show Some Lovin capped the good day at a very generous $8.30 in the nightcap. Hope everyone did well! Nice Friday card at Spa and night action at Del Mar features a $110k carryover...


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Poppy's Watching 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Gentle Jim 2-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Slimshady 4-1 WON ($13.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Hengroen 12-1 9th


2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2e Broman entry 8-5 WON ($2.90)/2nd
Best Value: #6 Sassy Salsa 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1a Livininthefastlane 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Alwaysinstilettos 6-1 3rd-2nd for wagering purposes


3rd: 34th Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Dayatthespa 2-5 WON ($2.50)
Best Value: #5 Sally's Dream 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Inimitable Romanee 10-1 3rd


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mahna 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Delany Road 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Laguna Girl 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Fevered Kiss 4-1 5th


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Sweet Potato 4-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Cool Flame 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Aireofdistinction 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 True Courage 5-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-6
3: 4
4: 1-2-3-5-6-7
5: 2-3-6-7

3x1x6x4 = $72 ($36 for .50)


6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Souper Speedy 9-5 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #1 Praetereo 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Brigand 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Private Tale 10-1 6th


7th: MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Mavourneen 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Coriander 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Love Is Key Kaz 8-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Allie Sweet 4-1 WON ($10.20)


8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

All button race..

Best Value: #8 Sheza Heartbreaker 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Strategic Missle 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Ballistic Sue 10-1 WON ($20.40)
Super Add: #7 Spun Silky 4-1 4th


9th: Saratoga Sunrise-NY, 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Awesome Vision 2-1 WON ($5.30)
Next Best: #6 Groomedforvistory 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Bigger is Bettor 3-1 2nd


10th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T

Riddled with SCR's..

Most Likely: #1 Awakino Cat WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #5 Synthesizer 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Silent Pipe 2nd


@$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-6-7-8
8: 1-3-4-5-6-7-8
9: 4-6-7
10: 1

5x7x3x1 = 105 x .50 = $52.50

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/3/7/1,2,3,6,9,10,11) Paid $228.75


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-16-2013 10:01 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

atolunch 08-16-2013 05:07 PM

Nice job yet again Steve.

Congrats and thanks as always!!:$::tro:

Are you playing anything tonight at Del Mar?

Bogey 08-16-2013 05:31 PM

Steve, Congrats!!! Nicely played.

Alabama Stakes 08-16-2013 05:45 PM

nice job again boss. thanks , are you gonna cap ahhhlingtin tomorrow ? or are we on our own ? come by tomorrow and say hello.

Kasept 08-16-2013 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by atolunch (Post 940713)
Nice job yet again Steve. Congrats and thanks as always!!:$::tro:

Are you playing anything tonight at Del Mar?

Quote:

Originally Posted by arizonadave (Post 940716)
Nice job Steve,only seven races tonight at Del Mar with nice carryover.

Larry.. Dave..

THX.. Couldn't get to DMR. Lead-in to Fridays always demanding with Weekend Preview ATR/Saturday capping. G/L!

Kasept 08-16-2013 07:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey (Post 940718)
Steve, Congrats!!! Nicely played.

Gus..

THX.. Assume you're AP bound tomorrow.. Enjoy & BOL!


Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 940719)
nice job again boss. thanks , are you gonna cap ahhhlingtin tomorrow ? or are we on our own ? come by tomorrow and say hello.


Bama..

THX.. Will have Festival P4 stab but Gus is your man for Arlington tomorrow. BOL this wknd...

knickslions2 08-16-2013 07:16 PM

Good work today Steve. Things finally coming back for me last two days!!

Bogey 08-16-2013 07:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 940723)
Gus..

THX.. Assume you're AP bound tomorrow.. Enjoy & BOL!





Bama..

THX.. Will have Festival P4 stab but Gus is your man for Arlington tomorrow. BOL this wknd...

Oh Yeah, Chamber of Commerce type day for Million Day. Sunny and 80. I saw you have the same type of weather for the Sword Dancer and Alabama - Really like the chances of #6 Side Glance (12-1) in the Million.

Alabama Stakes 08-20-2013 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey (Post 940730)
Oh Yeah, Chamber of Commerce type day for Million Day. Sunny and 80. I saw you have the same type of weather for the Sword Dancer and Alabama - Really like the chances of #6 Side Glance (12-1) in the Million.


should have been unsaddled. completed nice tri with the boss' angle on the winner. Good cappin' up in there !


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