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-   -   6/20: Belmont Park ($20k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=51051)

Kasept 06-20-2013 07:13 AM

6/20: Belmont Park ($20k C/O)
 
First half of Belmont Wednesday went chalky with the P4 losing $25, but then the interesting prices began to work their way into the mix. There wasn't a winner above 8-1 in the P6 sequence, but $12.40, $17.80 and $14.40 numbers in the late P3 ($666.50 for $1) were enough to trip a $20k carryover into Thursday.

Chaos-eligible maiden claiming nightcap came through to generate a nice close to the afternoon when Best Value tab Silver Silence won well at 6-1 with 44-1 Baal Perazim rounding out the tri and just missing the placement when headed late by Brianna Nicole. The $1 triple returned $649. Hope everyone did well. Last ATR today before post-Triple Crown/pre-Saratoga vacation through July 2nd..


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$20,400 P6 C/O starts here..

I don't get what is so scary about Spooky Kitten. Spooky Mulder, yes.. Spooky Kitten, no..

Best Value: #8 Original Kitten 8-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Strategic Missle 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Spooky Kitten 3-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Sheza Heartbreaker 15-1 WON ($53.00)


5th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Having a hard time settling on pace scenario here. If left alone at all, She's Stones Sis (By Giant's Causeway and half to Bustin Stones) can wire..

Most Likely: #7 She's Stones Sis 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 She's Always Hot 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Tahoe Tigress 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Milkyyourway 8-1 6th


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Missysmoonlitmagic will have every opportunity to wire this group. Up to Edgar to take advantage..

Most Likely: #8 MISSYSMOONLITMAGIC 8-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Chick in Slacks 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 The Winged Venus 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Onthekisser 7-2 4th


7th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Mah Jong Maddnes 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Swakopmund 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Lawless Miss 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 English Rhythm 4-1 4th


8th: NY-OC/C, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bigger Is Bettor 5-1 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #2 Swag Daddy 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Copper Forest 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Most Happy Fella 5-1 6th


9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T

Most Likely: #5 Palace Dreams 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #9 Celesta 6-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Run to Mama 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Jennys Creek 5-1 2nd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3-5-8
5: 4-5-7
6: 8
7: 2-3-4-6
8: 2-7
9: 5

3x3x1x4x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 5-8-11
7: 2-3-4-6
8: 2-5-7
9: 1-2-5-9

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 06-20-2013 10:04 AM

BEL SCR/CHG'S

knickslions2 06-20-2013 02:43 PM

Played your late pick 4 Steve with one change in the 8th. GL

6: 5-8-11
7: 2-3-4-6
8: 5-6-7
9: 1-2-5-9


$72

hoovesupsideyourhead 06-20-2013 03:38 PM

I like the 7 in the last..

Kasept 06-20-2013 04:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 932620)
Played your late pick 4 Steve with one change in the 8th. GL

We didn't get too lucky in the 6th/7th..

Kasept 06-20-2013 04:42 PM

One winner for $75k on the P6..


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