Derby Trail Forums - 6/19: Belmont Park (1st-9th)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD)

From Ascot to Elmont, Wesley Ward has 2yo's and Ainteasybeinggreen SCR goes favored here. Blue Collar Cat, a half to Swag Daddy, banged the gate in his debut which featured Ward's Ogermeister..

Most Likely: #2 Blue Collar Cat 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 I'm Gonna Flip 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Carolinian 5-2 6th

2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Slightly mysterious group with a notable sidebar from the late Ned Evans. Fevered Kiss (Smart Strike) for Mott is out of the outstanding Raging Fever that Mark Hennig sent out to 10 stakes wins and nearly $1.5MM in earnings. Meanwhile, Shirreffs debuts Cool Flame (Dixie Union) out of Fever’s Gone (Gone West) who was Raging Fever’s first foal! Jet Away returns as a first time 3yo for Shug. Phipps H/B is out of Resort, a half sis of the late, tragic Sightseeing..

Most Likely: #3 Work N Flirt 3-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Jonata 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #4 Cool Flame 5-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Wedding Toast 5-2 2nd

3rd: OC/C, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

As discussed with Ian Wilkes (returns Ninety Schillings) Monday, a deep, accomplished group..

Most Likely: #4 Joes Blazing Aaron 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Doubles Partner 7-5 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #3 Admiral Perry 4-1 2nd

4th: MCLM/$60k, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Ithastobegeorge 8-5 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #6 Political Farce 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Trusted Choice 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Alysaro 5-1 5th

5th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Tough set and feels like pace could get prompted but if no one goes with Read the Research, he'll wire this..

Most Likely: #7 Read the Research 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #3 Newbie 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Another Page 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Keep Bustin 5-2 3rd

@$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-5
3: 4-5
4: 2-3-4-6
5: 1-2-3-4-6-7-8

2x2x4x7 = 112 x .50 = $56

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/2,5,7/1,4/7) Paid $27.75

6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Dual Citizen 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Free Brave 5-2 WON ($8.30)
Exotics Use: #8 Rangey 12-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Sam's Buck 10-1 3rd

7th: OC/C, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Outrageously well-matched group. Don't accept short prices..

Best Value: #9 Christiesborntorun Late SCR (Gate)
Next Best: #2 Eternal Ruler 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Nine O Wonderful 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Spring to the Sky 5-2 2nd

8th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #4 War Hitch 3-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Tricky Slam 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Storm Pursuit 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Chic's Palace 20-1 10th

9th: MCLM/$16k, F&M-3+, 1m-T

One of those ugly groups that invites chaos..

Most Likely: #2 Estrange 2-1 9th
Best Value: #1 Silver Science 8-1 WON ($14.40)
Next Best: #6 Brianna Nicole 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Shake Senora 5-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Baal Perazim 20-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-8
7: 2-3-8-9/SCR-10
8: 4-7
9: 1-2-6-8-9

3x5x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75

Good luck!
Steve