Derby Trail Forums - 6/15: Belmont (7th-10th); Hollywood (7th-10th); Churchill Downs (3rd-9th)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: NY-MCLM/$50k, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 One Red Cat 4-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Joe Mooch 7-2 8th
Best Value: #7 My Teddy Bear 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Horatio 5-1 3rd

8th: 39th Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Red Rifle 6-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Play It Loud 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Michael With Us 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Infinite Magic 7-2 6th

9th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #8 Money in Motion 5-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #1a Situational Ethics 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Street Fight 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Shotinthefog 6-1 6th

10th: NY-MCLM/$10k, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #8 Shock Me Kaz 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Without Regard 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 G W's Hammer Late SCR (Gate)
Exotics Use: #2 Purple Rico 12-1 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-6-7-8-10
8: 2-3-7-9-11
9: 1-8
10: 3/SCR-4-8

5x5x2x3 = 150 x .50 = $75

HOLLYWOOD PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Cotton's Point 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Classic Candy 12-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Keldy 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Glorious Luck 8-1 WON ($32.00)

.10 SUPER: Key 7 with 2-4-6-10 with 2-4-5-6-10-11 with 2-4-5-6-10-11 (1x4x5x4 = 90 x .10 = $9.00)

8th: 49th Willard Proctor Memorial, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Willie B Awesome 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Geldautomat 10-1 9th
Next Best: #7 California Chrome 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Kobe's Back 7-2 WON ($5.60)

9th: 72nd Vanity H. (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Open Water 4-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Lady of Fifty 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 More Chocolate 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Esentepe 7-2 6th

10th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Secret Memo 5-2 9th
Next Best: #10 Royal Weekend 4-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Goldilocks Planet 10-1 WON ($25.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Big G Secret Crab 5-1 6th
Super Add: #14 Rockin Hard Gals 7-2 8th

<$75/$40 P4 Play:

7: 7
8: 2-5-6-7-8-9
9: 1-3-5-6
10: 8-9-10

1x6x4x3 = $72 ($36 for .50)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Awesome Flower 2-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Seans Silverdancer 5-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Speedinthruthecity 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Yankee Union 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Brilliant Autumn 20-1 4th

4th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Troubadour Tango 3-1 9th
Best Value: #5 Lent 8-1 WON ($14.00)
Next Best: #6 Buckwheat 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Strike It Big 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #13 Mr. Besilu 4-1 7th

5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Bail Me Out 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Doctor Vickie Lynn 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Flores Island 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Strike Charmer 9-2 WON ($9.20)

6th: 38th Fleur De Lis (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Royal Delta 2-5 2nd
Next Best: #3 Wine Princess 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 She's All In 10-1 3rd

<$25/$50/$75 P4 Play:

3: 3-5-6-7-9
4: 2-5-6-12-13
5: 1-3-4-5
6: 5

5x5x4x1 = 100 x .50 = $50

Press or Back-up option covering Wine Princess:

3: 3-6
4: 2-5-6
5: 1-3-4-5
6: 5 (3)

2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

7th: 16th Matt Winn (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Looking Cool 15-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Code West 4-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Sunbean 6-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Bellarmine 9-2 5th

8th: 32nd Stephen Foster (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Successful Dan 2-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Take Charge Indy 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Fort Larned 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #3 Ron the Greek 3-1 3rd

9th: 44th Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Kitten's Dumplings 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #6 Miss Lucky Sevens 10-1 -
Next Best: #1 Praia 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Broken Spell 8-1 4th

<$50 P5 Play:

5: 1-3-4-5
6: 5
7: 1-2-5-10
8: 2-4-6
9: 3-6

4x1x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-5
7: 1-2-3-5-7-10
8: 2-3-4-6
9: 1-3-6

2x6x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve