Derby Trail Forums - 4/11: Aqueduct ($19k C/O); Oaklawn Park (7th-10th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

RACES 6 & 9 ARE OFF THE TURF

4th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$19,635 P6 C/O starts here..

This is a pretty difficult sequence if you question the reliability of the low-priced favorites..

Most Likely: #7 Reserved Quality 5-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Buckeye Heart 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Shotgun City 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Laysh Laysh Laysh 6-1 3rd

5th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Like a Diva 3-1 4th/6th
Best Value: #3 Clearly Confused 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Bliss 7-5 WON ($4.10)
Exotics Use: #4 Dissension 4-1 5th

6th: MDN CLM ($65k), 3yo-F, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Off the turf events don't often become better with the surface switch, but this is much more competitive on the main than it was on the lawn..

Most Likely: #3 Time On My Hands 3-1 WON ($3.90)
Next Best: #4 Industrial Policy 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 High Inflation 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Spunky Princess 15-1 2nd

7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Cinematize 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Newbie 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Gambling Geraldine 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Golden Galaxy 4-1 WON ($10.20)

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Quirky little set. Suppose now that Glorious View has broken through she just keeps moving forward, but Expression had a nice winter too..

Most Likely: #6 Glorious View 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #5 Expression 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Ode to Sami 5-1 3rd

9th: MDN CLM ($20k), F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #5 My Uptown Gal 2nd
Next Best: #7 Pure Afleet WON ($4.10)
Exotics Use: #6 Bacheliere 3rd

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-2-7
5: 1-3-4-5
6: 3-4
7: 2
8: 6
9: 5-6-7

3x4x2x1x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 Pick 6 (2/2,5/1,3,6,7,9/4/6/1,3,7,8) Paid $12.20 (5OF6)

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-6-8-10
7: 1-2-3-4
8: 5-6
9: 5-6-7

6x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,3,6,7,9/4/6/1,3,7,8) Paid $25.50

OAKLAWN PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4)

Most Likely: #4 Alyssa's Dream 3-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Camagin 9-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Pretty Heiress 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Breezing Rain 5-1 8th

8th: MSW, D&M-3+, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #8 Pretty Petal 4-1 9th
Best Value: #6 Briar Mojo 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Trail Walker 7-2 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Dancing Afleet 8-1 4th

9th: Carousel, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, .10 Super)

Most Likely: #2 Beat the Blues 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Good Deed 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Vuitton 6-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Awesome Symmetry 6-1 7th

10th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m (.10 Super)

Best Value: #6 Drogue 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Beer Garden 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Sir Bond 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Super Add: #10 Quartersawn 12-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-8
8: 6-8-12
9: 2-3
10: 6-7-9-10-11

2x3x2x5 = $60 ($30 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve