Derby Trail Forums - 2/7: Aqueduct ($38k C/O); Gulfstream Park ($60k P5 C/O)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MSW, 4+, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD)

$38k P6 C/O starts here..'

Not sure why Potus is even money here. He is a deserving favorite but hardly overwhelming. This is plenty competitive with Bob and Jim and Papa Tom both owning races two back that are as good or better than Potus' last. And Van Tassel is a half to Ichabad Crane and eligible to enjoy stretching back out..

Most Likely: #4 Potus 1-1 (A) 4th
Best Value: #5 Bob and Jim 5-1 (A) 8th
Next Best: #7 Papa Tom 5-2 (A) WON ($8.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Van Tassel 12-1 (C) 7th

5th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Vee's Accolade 2-1 (A) 4th
Next Best: #2 Chasing Moonlight 3-1 (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Classic R and B 4-1 (C) 6th
Super Add: #4 Ancient Rome 7-2 (C) 2nd

6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Towering 2-1 (A) DNF-Pulled Up
Next Best: #4 Wanstead 5-2 (B) WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #8 Raffie's Factor 10-1 (C) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Troubleinrivercity 7-2 (C) 5th

7th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Nick Canani one of those guys that only puts blinkers on when he knows it will mean something. 7 W's with last 13 additions of hood according to DRF Trainer Stats ..

Best Value: #8 Pure Afleet 10-1 (A) 8th
Next Best: #1 High Inflation 5-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Chartier 5-1 (C) 2nd
Super Add: #7 Fuhrika 20-1 (X) 6th

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (DD)

As discussed with Andy Serling Tuesday, no shortage of pace lined up here which should give Ground Force every chance. B Shanny goes first time as a gelding for cutback whiz Hushion. Good race..

Most Likely: #1 B Shanny 3-1 (A) WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #4 Ground Force 8-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #6 Won Great Classic 7-2 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Isn'tlovejustgrand 5-1 (B) 4th

9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f

Favored Mizzen Donald gets featherweighted (111#), dropping 9# since being claimed last by Rice. Likely winner but there's something squirelly about this event..

Most Likely: #9 Mizzen Donald 2-1 (A) WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #7 Skiddles n' Bob 3-1 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #2 Miss Libby 15-1 (C) 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Night Brigade 5-1 (C) 3rd

<$200 P6 Play:

4: 4-5-7
5: 6
6: 2
7: 1-6-8
8: 1-4-5-6
9: 7-9

3x1x1x3x4x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-8
7: 1-6-8
8: 1-4-5-6
9: 2-3-7-9

3x3x4x4 = $144 x .50 = $72

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM/N2L, D&M-4+, 8.5f-T/108' (P6, P3, DD)

$1.5MM Rainbow P6 Jackpot starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Don't Cry for Me 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #3 Dixie Dear 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Pelipa 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Halo's Gate 12-1 4th

6th: MDN CLM, 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$60k P5 C/O starts here..

Some ugly bunch of coconuts. Whover gets the lead here may simply keep going..

Best Value: #7 Major Score 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Bear's Spirit 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Vector 5-1 10th
Super Add: #12 Anonymous Donor 4-1 8th

7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-T/48' (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Scavezzaro 15-1 12th
Next Best: #5 Didn't Take It 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Gunman 3-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Smoking the Field 20-1 10th

8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Miss Moonshine 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Love Train 5-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Femme Fatale 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Midnight Q 12-1 7th

9th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 1m-T/48' (DD)

Terrific set..

Best Value: #3 Baffle Me 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Warm Hugs 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Pianist 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #7 Eagle Hall 6-1 3rd

10th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T/108' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Picou 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Live in Joy 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Flamin' Hot 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #15 Hariolus 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Super/Hi-5: #12 Let's Do It 10-1 6th

<$30 P6 Play:

5: 3-8
6: 1-7
7: 1-2-5-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4
10: 4-5-7

2x2x4x2x3x3 = 288 x .10 = $28.80

<$75 P5 Play:

6: 1-7
7: 1-2-5-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4
10: 4-5-7

2x4x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-4-5-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4-5-7
10: 4-5-7

5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75

Good luck!
Steve