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-   -   1/13: Santa Anita ($231 P6/$27k Hi-5 C/O's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=49685)

Kasept 01-13-2013 08:23 AM

1/13: Santa Anita ($231 P6/$27k Hi-5 C/O's)
 
Flying to Fort Lauderdale as I write this for 2+ weeks of ATR live from Gulfstream Park ahead of Sunshine Millions/Eclipse Award and Holy Bull Weekends. $231k Santa Anita double carryover beckons first however, on another interesting sequence featuring 3 particularly difficult races and 3 with very clear options. In and out day Saturday with hits too isolated for profitability. Hope everyone did OK.


SANTA ANITA PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

As discussed with Sadler on ATR and tweeted Friday, big story horse here is debuting Demonic who has tongues wagging at Clocker's Corner. Anything less than a professional win with accompanying solid fig will be viewed as a disappointment..

Most Likely: #8 Demonic 5-2 (A) WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #2 Tiz the Truth 4-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Battled 3-1 (C) 5th
Super Add: #6 Del Mar Sunset 4-1 (X) 3rd


5th: S/ALW, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

First of the 3 deep and danger-fraught tests..

Most Likely: #4 Exclusive Story 5-2 (A) 7th
Next Best: #7 Sultry Season 3-1 (A) WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #5 Sense of a Woman 8-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 No Name Needed 9-2 (C) 8th
Super Add: #8 Cavalla 6-1 (C) 5th


<$60 P4/P5 Plays:

1: 2-5-6-7-8
2: 1-3-5-9
3: 1-2-7
4: 8
5: 4-7 (5-6-8)

P5: 5x4x3x1x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
P4: 4x3x1x5 = $60 ($30 for .50)


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Tough downhill heat for maiden missies with several coming back for all-important 2nd career start. Nicegirlsfnishlast exits productive debut that saw her chase Stute's Papa Clem sis Escape Act. Keeps Bejarano who must negotiate the tricky inside post on this course. After that, 4-7-8-9 all look obvious. Note that AE What a Spot (Arch) from Proctor is a half to Coil (Point Given) but morning machinations indicate he's a down-the-road type..

Most Likely: #1 NICEGIRLSFNISHLAST 9-2 (A) 4th
Next Best: #8 Poster Girl 9-2 (B) 5th
Best Value: #7 Majestic Jewel 8-1 (C) WON ($13.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Devious Chic 4-1 (C) 6th
Super Add: #9 Oceans of Money 9-2 (C) 2nd


7th: CLM, 4+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Arresting Officer 5-2 (A) 3rd
Best Value: #5 Mark of a Warrior 8-1 (B) 9th
Next Best: #7 Chinese Praise 3-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Hidden Blessing 7-2 (B) WON ($13.60)

"C's": #2 Afleet Deal 12-1 8th; #12 Cahill Report 10-1 6th (C's)


8th: 66th San Gabriel (G2), 4+, 9f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Slim Shadey 2-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #7 Jeranimo 9-5 (A) WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Juniper Pass (C) 4th
Super Add: #6 Chosen Miracle 3-1 (C) 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super Hi-5)

$27k Super Hi-5 C/O here..

Most Likely: #10 Rader the Rat 5-2 (A) 3rd
Best Value: #7 Duke King Street 5-1 (A) 8th
Next Best: #3 Got Heem 4-1 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Silk Indian 9-2 (B) 2nd

"C's": #2 Collation 6-1 WON ($38.40); #5 Great Friends Rule 5-1 3rd; #8 Streamofsteam 30-1 10th (C)


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 8
5: 4-5-7
6: 1
7: 4-5-6-7
8: 4-7
9: 3-4-7-10

1x3x1x4x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-8
7: 2-4-5-6-7-8-12
8: 4-7
9: 3-4-7-10 (2-5-8)

2x7x2x4 = 112 x .50 = $56 (Wide nightcap 2x7x2x7 = 196 x .50 = $98)


Good luck!
Steve


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