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-   -   12/6: Hollywood Park (5th-8th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=49323)

Kasept 12-06-2012 07:40 AM

12/6: Hollywood Park (5th-8th)
 
HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD)

May be overthinking this, but it feels like a very tough group with almost the whole set separated by a couple lengths. Don't miss ATR discussion with Haskin later as #9 Tummel triggers fascinating pedigree chase back to Laughter, dam of Private Terms, daughter of Shenanigans and thereby Ruffian's sister..

Best Value: #8 D J Dave 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 A Toe by Three 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Tummel 6-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Champions Gate 5-1 7th


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Major contenders have had plenty of chances here. Leaning toward frogs with least warts..

Most Likely: #4 SCR
Best Value: #5 Warren's Bugler 15-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Suancesong 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Denny the Great 4-1 6th


7th: OC/C, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Superb group. Suppose Fast Bullet 'won't lose', but these aren't tomato cans..

Most Likely: #6 Fast Bullet 3-1 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #9 Close to the Edge 9-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Cyclometer 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Sequoia Warrior 7-2 2nd


8th: Cal-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

How great is this? Cassidy's Van Dien Avenue (In Excess), sister of The Usual Q T (Unusual Heat), faces off against Sadler's Majestic Jewel (Condago), sister of Evening Jewel (Northern Afleet) and Hollendorfer's Roust 'Em Bertie (Bertrando), sister of Rousing Sermon (Lucky Pulpit)..

Most Likely: #3 Van Dien Avenue 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Maddog Maddie 5-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Majestic Jewel 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Roust 'Em Bertie 6-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #9 Qiaona 4-1 WON ($9.80)


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-4-5-7-8-9
6: 1-4/SCR-5-7-9
7: 6
8: 1-3-8-9-10

6x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 12-06-2012 12:51 PM

HOL SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 12-06-2012 05:48 PM

Wow.. That was a pretty sharp effort from Fast Bullet.

geeker2 12-06-2012 06:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 905561)
Wow.. That was a pretty sharp effort from Fast Bullet.

Nice run by the other Baffert.


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