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-   -   Gallup: Romney 52% Obama 45% (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=48795)

Rupert Pupkin 10-18-2012 04:04 PM

Gallup: Romney 52% Obama 45%
 
According to the latest Gallup poll, Romney has opened up a commanding lead. This is the best poll yet for Romney. I am somewhat skeptical because the betting lines still have Obama as a solid favorite.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/el...ma-romney.aspx

Real Clear Politics is now showing Romney taking his first lead in the electoral college.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...llege_map.html

Rupert Pupkin 10-18-2012 07:13 PM

A new poll just came out showing that Romney is leading Pennsylvania.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/poll-s...3#.UICahG_A-Qx

geeker2 10-18-2012 09:10 PM

The fat lady is clearing her voice.

Rupert Pupkin 10-18-2012 09:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geeker2 (Post 896783)
The fat lady is clearing her voice.

I wouldn't go that far. As I said before, all the betting places still have Obama as a solid favorite. In addition, there are other polls that still show Obama leading.

I think it will be a very close race.

jms62 10-19-2012 03:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geeker2 (Post 896783)
The fat lady is clearing her voice.

Loads of free money waiting for you at Intrade. Mortgage the house and go all in.

Coach Pants 10-19-2012 07:40 AM

Obama is finished. Feel free to play the game if you'd like. Throw a few quid down on Obama if you're sure.

But me? I've seen too many robberies the past few years to justify putting my quid on the line for two as.sholes.

Don't care either way. The decline continues with either of them.

geeker2 10-19-2012 08:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 896814)
Loads of free money waiting for you at Intrade. Mortgage the house and go all in.


Saving my cash for Maylan Studart on the turf.

MaTH716 10-19-2012 08:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geeker2 (Post 896835)
Saving my cash for Maylan Studart on the turf.

What, is she going to start stripping on it?

jms62 10-19-2012 09:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 896836)
What, is she going to start stripping on it?

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/6...nd-the-country

MaTH716 10-19-2012 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 896845)

5th? I would like to lodge an objection.......

hi_im_god 10-19-2012 04:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 896832)
Obama is finished. Feel free to play the game if you'd like. Throw a few quid down on Obama if you're sure.

But me? I've seen too many robberies the past few years to justify putting my quid on the line for two as.sholes.

Don't care either way. The decline continues with either of them.

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/business...the-presi.html

PS: So right now it's October 4, 2012 at 12:50 pm EST. President Obama's got 66 percent odds [of winning the election] on Intrade, 69 percent on Iowa and 73 percent on Betfair. If you were trying to make money right now, what do you do?
AJG: Well, I would if I could -- Betfair is locked for U.S. persons -- sell President Obama's contracts on Betfair and buy President Obama's contracts on Intrade, and wait, because eventually the prices on these two contracts would have to converge. They just predict the same event happening, so they will have to be worth the same once the event happens or doesn't. So come November 6th, both of these contracts will expire at the same value, but because I sold one high and I bought the other one low, I will pocket the 8 points difference between the 2 contracts.

Coach Pants 10-19-2012 05:58 PM

^^Optimal report


hi_im_god 10-19-2012 06:14 PM

i was just saying there was a way to make money regardless of the result.

Riot 10-20-2012 07:09 PM

I hope every conservative here strongly goes all-in on the premise that Mitt Romney will be the next president of the United States :tro:

geeker2 10-20-2012 08:39 PM

Fat lady doing scales......

joeydb 10-22-2012 07:29 AM

The election's not here yet, so would never assume one side or the other is "done".

However, it is supposedly unprecedented that a candidate with an over 50% score in the Gallup poll with less than 3 weeks to go (when the poll was first taken) would lose. That does not of course mean that it can't happen. But it has not happened yet.

What no one knows is how fast or slow a poll can rise or fall. Hundreds of millions of voters making individual decisions are of course independent from each other. But treated as a population and evaluated with correlative statistics, it is apparently unlikely that the poll would change that fast.

Rudeboyelvis 10-22-2012 09:03 AM

Obama Wins Arizona
 
3 weeks before the election.

How does this graphic even exist if the fix isn't already in? Anyone have any ideas?




The "News Department" of the affiliate which broadcasted their election fraud is not responding.

Story:

http://dailycaller.com/2012/10/21/cb...d-of-election/

Rupert Pupkin 10-23-2012 01:10 PM

Romney's chances are looking better and better all the time. Every poll out there is moving in his direction. Obama is still the betting favorite but the line is getting lower and lower by the day. Intrade now has Obama with a 57.7% chance of winning.

Riot 10-23-2012 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis (Post 897461)
3 weeks before the election.

How does this graphic even exist if the fix isn't already in? Anyone have any ideas?

It's clear the fix is indeed already in, and everyone at the Arizona Board of Elections knows it. The people of both parties on the Arizona Board of Elections have already made up some vote numbers. Those darn Republicans! Cheating for Obama!

Then, those many folks have transmitted those vote totals to multiple local television stations, because no, that wouldn't be unusual at all, to receive vote totals before an election.

And all those local television stations are sitting on the vote totals, except the one that goofed and published it. Curses! The fools! They revealed the fix!

Those thousands of people, from all those GOP's at the Board of Elections to GOPs at the television stations, are clearly in on this vast conspiracy, and just keeping their mouths shut about it.

Or ... a television station was testing their election chyrons, and put one up with figures filled out to see if it would work.

Naw - that couldn't be it! That makes no sense! It's gotta be a huge, state-wide, vote-fixing plot involving thousands of potential whistle blowers! That makes more logical sense!

bigrun 10-23-2012 02:38 PM

Yes, the fix is in...in Ohio...I heard it on the internet...Wonder if those machines have those pesky hanging chads..:D

Romney-linked voting machine company to count votes in Ohio

http://www.salon.com/2012/10/23/romn...votes_in_ohio/


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