Derby Trail Forums - 10/18: Santa Anita ($66k C/O)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MDN CLM, 2yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$66k P6 C/O starts here..

Machowsky Cal-bred There Goes Donnie lost all chance early in route debut at FPX last month. Scorched half mile bullet readying for this. Barn in midst of big stand..

Best Value: #5 There Goes Donnie 6-1 (A) WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #6 Pick Six Joe 7-2 (A) 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Kentucky Kid 3-1 (B) 5th
Super Add: #8 Jones Destiny 5-2 (B) 3rd

4th: CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Vann Belvoir in midst of trying meet having lost with first 17 starters. Sends 3rd of 5 on the day in here with Cat'sdoubledaygirl looking to have strong chance to end schneid..

Most Likely: #3 Cat'sdoubledaygirl 3-1 (A) 4th
Next Best: #4 Hyena 2-1 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #1 Divas and Diamonds 6-1 (C) 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Ella Bea Awesome 4-1 (C) 6th

5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Doubledeesonthetee 5-2 (A) 5th
Next Best: #7 Havoc 3-1 (A) WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #9 Somewhere With You 5-1 (B) 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Primed and Ready 7-2 (B) 2nd

<$100 P5/<$50 P4 Plays:

1: 4-6
2: 1-2
3: 5-6-7-8
4: 1-3-4
5: 4-6-7-9

P5: 2x2x4x3x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
P4: 2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Luke's Legacy 8-1 (A) 9th
Next Best: #8 Striking Spirit 5-2 (A) 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Apply 4-1 (B) 8th
Super Add: #9 Gold Medallion 6-1 (B) 3rd

7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Very tricky starter group with about 6 that look capable on best. Lia Juliana (15-1) may be a stab in this spot, but she has a hint of turf pedigree as a half to Renzo Sean and the stretchout to two turns may be fine for her. Taking shot. Should add that Brad Free notes the 3 turf routes at the meet with the rails at 24' have been won from off the pace..

Best Value: #2 Lia Juliana 15-1 (A) 7th
Next Best: #4 Always a Chance 3-1 (A) WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Chimi Dee 5-2 (A) 5th
Super Add: #8 Around the Twig 8-1 (C) 8th

8th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Disarm could be your single in 'cheapish' P6 sequence. If Belvoir hasn't broken through with one of his earlier runnners, a forward move by Beau Diablo would get 0/39 Victor Espinoza off the duck as well..

Most Likely: #8 Disarm 2-1 (A) WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #1 Greeley Awesome 7-2 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #3 Beau Diablo 3-1 (C) 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Salah Champ 9-2 (C) 4th

<$100 P6 Play:

3: 5-6 (7-8)
4: 3-4
5: 4-7 (6-9)
6: 6-8 (7-9)
7: 2-4-9
8: 8 (1-5)

All "A's" Play: 2x2x2x2x3x1 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$50 P4 Play:

5: 4-6-7-9
6: 6-8
7: 2-4-9
8: 1-3-8-9

4x2x3x4 = 96 x .5- = $48

Good luck!
Steve