Derby Trail Forums - 10/13: Belmont ($65k C/O); Keeneland (6th-10th); Santa Anita (Cal Cup)

Apologize for selections by name only but lost entire written analysis in computer hiccup earlier and do not have time to re-write blurbs..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$65k Double C/O

Most Likely: #2b Delhomme 3-5 WON ($2.90)
Next Best: #5 Mudflats 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Long River 8-1 2nd

6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Cybertron & N F's Destiny ran Thursday. Likely SCR's..

Best Value: #7 Readbytheline 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Warrioroftheroses 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Big City Boy 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Greeley's Law 12-1 6th

7th: 36th Athenia (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Big SCR with Dealbata coming out..

Most Likely: #2 Ruthenia 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 La Cloche 10-1 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #3 Embarr 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Laughing 4-1 3rd

8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Wine Burglar 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Girl Code 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Tokyo Time 10-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Channel of Gold 6-1 6th

9th: 53rd Knickerbocker (G3), 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Boisterous 2-1 WON ($4.10)
Next Best: #2 Sky Blazer 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Stormy Lord 5-1 4th
Super Add: #8 See Tobe 12-1 2nd

10th: CLM, 3+, 7f-T

Most Likely: #10 New Yorker 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Red Jack 10-1 10th
Best Value: #11 Hooligan's Delight 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Louie Mondello 8-1 6th

<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-2-5
6: 1-6-7-8
7: 1-2
8: 6
9: 2-3
10: 3-10

3x4x2x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2
8: 2-3-6
9: 2-3-6-8
10: 1-3-10-11

2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Don't Tell Sophia 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Adjacent 2-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Ridgester 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Submission 3-1 5th

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Yuzuru 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Psychadelacized 15-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Bow Bells 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #11 SCR

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ire 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Lady Diva Ga Ga 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Spun Cap 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Whispering Wisdom 12-1 8th

9th: 29th Queen Elizabeth (G1), 9f-T (DD)

You almost need the 'all' button to be guaranteed a pass through this incredibly well-matched group..

Best Value: #1 Better Lucky 12-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Samitar 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Stephanie's Kitten 5-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Dayatthespa 3-1 WON ($8.60)

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Castlepost 6-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #3 Original Art 6-5 11th
Exotics Use: #7 Caddo Lake 8-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Desert Doc 15-1 5th

<$75 P5 Play:

6: 1-5
7: 2-5-9
8: 1-3-8
9: 1-5-7-8
10: 3-9

2x3x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-5-9
8: 1-3-8
9: 1-5-6-7-8
10: 3-7-9

3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 23rd Cal Cup Juvenile, 2yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Strong Wind 3-1 9th
Next Best: #3 The Humancomplaint 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Monument 9-2 WON ($12.00)
Super Add: #1 Warren's Rocky 20-1 8th

6th: 23rd Cal Cup Distaff (1st Div.), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tiz Flirtatious 7-2 WON ($9.20)
Best Value: #11 Unusual Hottie 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Teddy's Promise 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Best Present Ever 4-1 2nd

7th: 23rd Cal Cup Sprint, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Shudacudawudya 7-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Derby Gold 6-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Obsess 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Ain't No Other 3-1 2nd

8th: 23rd Cal Cup Distaff (2nd Div.), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Sugarinthemorning 5-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Bella Viaggia 12-1 WON ($21.40)
Next Best: #6 West Ruler 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Sparkling Style 4-1 4th

9th: 23rd Cal Cup Classic, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 John Scott 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #5 Lucky Primo 5-1 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #1 Holladay Road 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Rousing Sermon 3-1 4th

10th: 23rd Cal Cup Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Sacred Delight 4-1 8th
Best Value: #10 Graduator 5-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Tilde 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Doinghardtimeagain 12-1 2nd

@$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-5-7-8-9
8: 1-10
9: 1-5-7
10: 7-9-10

6x2x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54

Good luck!
Steve