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-   -   9/13: Belmont Park ($27k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=48359)

Kasept 09-13-2012 07:36 AM

9/13: Belmont Park ($27k C/O)
 
Gave Fairplex P6 a serious run Wednesday and settled for $250 conso and some quality multi-race hits. Hope everyone did well! Belmont has a $27k jackpot to attack today on a challenging set of races...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$26,800 P6 C/O starts here..

Tricky start to sequence. After the obvious players that have started, well bred Albertrani firster Soul Safari (Unbridled's Song) has some sib strength as half to OK Belushi (Distored Humor). Albertrani is modest at best with debuting runners and in midst of an 0/32 first out drought dating back to Cold Cast and Zo Impressive this past winter. Watch board for clues. This event has a problematic feel..

Most Likely: #2 Physical Delivery 3-1 (A) 8th
Best Value: #6 Carameaway 10-1 (C) WON ($15.60)
Next Best: #9 Riptherubberoff 5-2 (C) 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Soul Safari 10-2 (C) 6th


5th: Groovy, 3yo, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Sum of the Parts probably as good a single as you're going to find in the sextet..

Most Likely: #3 Sum of the Parts 2-1 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #7 Artest 3-1 (B) 3rd
Best Value: #2 Banner Bill 6-1 (C) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Spring to the Sky 5-1 (C) WON ($8.80)


6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Interested to see where public takes Eric Donovan's ML beyond the Clement/Lezcano fave. Bit of an odd assembly here..

Most Likely: #6 Fast and Strong 6-5 (A) 3rd
Best Value: #12 Johar Beauty 12-1 (B) 10th
Next Best: #11 Caribean Beat 8-1 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Rakin' Gold 8-1 (C) WON ($13.80)


7th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Deep, contentious group. Doesn't help P6 players at all, but those playing spots can have fun with several potential overlays including #5 Erin Enchanted (20-1), #6 Evan's Rocket (15-1), #9 Leaping Lady (10-1) and #11 Sammzilla (12-1)..

Best Value: #9 Leaping Lady 10-1 (A) 4th
Next Best: #10 Read the Research 3-1 (B) 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Sammzilla 12-1 (B/C) 9th
Super Add: #5 Erin Enchanted 20-1 (C) 6th


8th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Another wide open group..

Most Likely: #8 King David 5-2 (A) WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #10 Colossal Gift 10-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #6 Splendiferous 8-1 (B) 6th
Exotics Use: #11 The Mixer 20-1 (C) 8th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Best Value: #2 Always Home 8-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #9 Race Palace 8-5 (A) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Chat Me Up 3-1 (B) 5th
Super Add: #3 Irish Wedding 5-1 (C) WON ($9.60)


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 2
5: 3-7
6: 6-11-12
7: 5-9-10-11
8: 8
9: 2-9

1x2x3x4x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 6-11-12
7: 5-9-10-11
8: 6-8-10-11
9: 2-6-9

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 09-13-2012 10:23 AM

BEL SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 09-13-2012 03:05 PM

Gots to be a double carryover..

Kasept 09-13-2012 03:41 PM

Or not! 3 & 9 pay in the P6... Wow.

Kasept 09-13-2012 04:12 PM

Going to be a single ticket.. $103,196

Coach Pants 09-13-2012 04:13 PM

If you hit the pick 6 you have to feel a little shortchanged.

What a brutal sequence.


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