Derby Trail Forums - 6/23: Belmont (7th-11th); Churchill (8th-11th); Hollywood (6th-9th)

After Belmont was washed away early Friday, caught Hollywood $216 P4 which proved worthwhile thanks to $16.60 You Little Devil in the nightcap. Hope everybody did well. Eclectic action Saturday around the map..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Shrewd One 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 How Do I Win 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Colossal Gift 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Trouble in Dodge 12-1 9th

8th: CLM, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

OFF THE TURF: 2-3-12 WON ($4.50)

9th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Stephen's Revenge 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Roaring Conquest 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Cientifico 12-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Unbridled Command 7-2 WON ($6.20)

10th: 56th Mother Goose (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Small but interestinggroup. Contested will have to be challenged early..

Most Likely: #2 Contested 7-5 5th
Next Best: #5 Zo Impressive 5-1 WON ($14.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Wildcat's Smile 10-1 4th

11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T

Not saying anything clever tabbing top 4 ML choices and yet this race feels like it's begging for an outsider. #10 Storiesinthedark & #11 El Corriente (15-1 each) are fun to add prices. #14 (AE) See Me Proud a big threat if drawn in..

Most Likely: #3 Kathy's Kitten 2-1 9th
Next Best: #14 See Me Proud 3-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Springcourt 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Plainview 4-1 WON ($16.20)
Super Add: #6 Rally Point 6-1 3rd

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-12
9: 5-8-10-11
10: 1-2-5
11: 3-5-7-14

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,4,5,6,8,11,12/3,4,10/5/7) Paid $362.50

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Artemus Kitten 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Karlovy Vary 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #8 Ridgester 30-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Joharmony 8-1 6th

9th: Kelly's Landing, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Delaunay 10-1 WON ($16.60)
Next Best: #2 Cal Nation 2-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Golden Frontier 2-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Shrill 5-1 4th

10th: 112th Debutante (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #10 Richie'slilcowgirl 3-1 10th
Best Value: #2 Quiet Success 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Blueeyesintherein 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Floral Sky 4-1 5th

11th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Tigers Love Pepper 5-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Whitewood Indian 6-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #1 Sports Day 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 American Bear 4-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Alandtom 15-1 7th

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-8-9
9: 1-2-7-8
10: 2-3-5-10
11: 1-2-7

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,3,4,10/7/3/7) Paid $216.35

HOLLYWOOD PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Gatheratthealter 3-1 4th
Nexr Best: #3 Solar Rocket 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Huntingman 30-1 6th

7th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)

Tricky feeling set..

Most Likely: #1 Autumn View 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Not Kidding Around 9-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Horsesanddivorces 5-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Tiz a Daisy 6-1 4th

8th: 67th Hollywood Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Fascinating group given in/out form of some of the more accomplished. Want a fresh face in lieu of set that have generally been beating each other since their baby campaigns, but was also looking for a more generous ML for Potesta. Think she may leap forward, so let's hope we get better than 4-1..

Most Likely: #6 POTESTA 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #8 Killer Graces 4-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Eden's Moon 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Willa B Awesome 7-2 6th

9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Satchmo's Muse 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Aunt Gert 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Lauren's Lady 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 One Lucky Lady 6-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Secret Genius 5-1 WON ($10.00)

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-5
7: 1-2-8-10
8: 6-8
9: 2-4-5-9-10-11

3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve