5/19: Hi Ho Pimlico (137th Preakness; $168k Mandatory P5)
 

Belmont P6 almost went un-hit again but ultimately rewarded 2 players for $430k each. Pimlico action was alternately chalky and surprising with the turf affairs producing $40 and $50 winners that were very hard to reach. Graded events were highlighted by Pletcher exacta in the Susie and outstanding Special that saw superb performances from the trifecta of Alternation, Nehro and Endorsement.

Marathon day post-ATR Friday didn't end until well past 1a this morning after interminable trip to Baltimore and am late getting this out. Friday's ATR featured extensive analysis of the stakes portion of today's Preakness card. Here's a rundown of the tabs..


PIMLICO RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: 61st Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Zagora 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #7 Laughing 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Baltimore Belle 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Smart Sting 5-1 4th


4th: ALW/C, 3yo, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #4 Paynter 4-5 WON ($2.20)
Next Best: #3 Brimstone Island 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Space Race 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Respectful Ed 6-1 3rd


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Some way to start the early P4. A 14 horse turf sprint..

Best Value: #11 Pendulum 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #14 Wire Funds 9-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Usmc Semper Fi 20-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Corundum 5-1 8th


6th: 3rd Chick Lang, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Don't get the even money on Innocent Man. At all..

Best Value: #2 Trippi's Secret 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Innocent Man 1-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Laurie's Rocket 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Il Villano 5-1 WON ($9.20)


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Clare Skies Ahead 4-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #8 Happy Choice 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Nekia's Vow 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Magical Merry 6-1 5th


8th: 26th MD Sprint H. (G3), 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Must-pay $168k C/O P5 starts here..

Best Value: #4 Wildcat Brief 10-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Diski Dance 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Hamazing Destiny 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #1 Immortal Eyes 5-1 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-6-9-11-14
6: 2-3
7: 2-8
8: 1-3-4-7-8

5x2x2x5 = 100 x .50 = $50


9th: J. W. Murphy, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

You can cover the Clement ML bookend faves (#1 Easy Crossing/#12 Achilles-SCR) in multis and exotics, but you should be taking chances in this race. Could generate fireworks..

Best Value: #2 Skyring 8-1 WON ($19.60)
Next Best: #1 Easy Crossing 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: 9 Hammers Terror 8-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Mr. Handsome 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-1) $34.70
$1 Trifecta (2-1-6) $564.70
$1 Superfecta (2-1-6-9) $2,103.50


10th: 20th Allaire Dupont Distaff (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

The Murphy is the place to bet Lukas. Absinthe Minded is a weak favorite here..

Most Likely: #5 Awesomemundo 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #6 Strike the Moon 20-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Absinthe Minded 9-5 8th
Exotics Use: #9 SCR


11th: 111th Dixie (G2), 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Very nicely matched field..

Most Likely: #9 Air Support 6-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Straight Story 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Trend 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Smart Bid 7-2 5th


12th: 137th Preakness (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD, Super Hi-5)

As discussed for 2 weeks, Derby players are the principals here. Bodemeister has every advantage and opportunity to win this while I'll Have Another appears to be poised for another premium effort. Creative Cause has proven himself tough and dependable while fans of late field addition Daddy Nose Best may be rewarded here with at least an exotics boost. Of the fresh faces, Tiger Walk should finally save ground and Zetterholm is good now..

Most Likely: #7 Bodemeister 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #9 I'll Have Another 5-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Daddy Nose Best 12-1 9th
Best Value: #6 Creative Cause 6-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #1 Tiger Walk 30-1 8th

.50 TRI: 7-9 with 1-4-6-7-8-9 with 1-4-5-6-7-8-9-11 (2x5x6 = 60 x .50 = $30)


<$100 P5 Play:

8: 1-3-4-7-8
9: 1-2-6-9-10
10: 5
11: 4-5-7-9
12: 7-9

5x5x1x4x2 = 200 x .50 = $100


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-2-3-6-9-10
10: 5
11: 3-4-5-7-9-11
12: 6-7-8-9

6x1x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (2-5/9-3-9) Paid $233.10


Good luck!
Steve

PIM SCR:

1st - #5-9-13
2nd - #8
4th - #2
5th - #3-7-16
7th - #1A
8th - #6
9th - #4-12


LINK to PIM Equibase page. Not posted there or at PIM website as of 10:22a but Jennie Rees listed those above earlier: http://equibase.com/static/latechang...esPIM-USA.html

Hi ho Pimlico!

Good Luck today, SB and everyone else.

Gonna fool around with Car Thief a little in the 1st. I think he's a little better than his odds indicate.

THX... G/L Kev and everyone! Couldn't be nicer here. Should be a great day..

Outside pieces

6 7 8 10 11 12 dime super box.

G/L today

Good luck today Steve. Was hoping to be there but work did not cooperate.

first one I remember was BeeBeeeBee beating Riva Ridge. Do you remember Steve ? Did they scrape the rail. It was pretty dead yesterday. Thanks, and have a blast.

Anybody else having issues with the PIM feed?

John, mine kept going in and out during the first race, but 2nd race was no problem.

Speak Easy Gal may carry them an awfully long way.

Dave Rodman is my man, but did he botch that call or what?

Here ya go, JJ...here's a hole for you to drive a mack truck through. Ya'll come on through.

Chalky O'Chalksalot on the premises at PIM today, per usual.

Twinspires is having issues and the odds are not updating on the program fo the fourth :mad:

I think a $20 P3 using Favorite/Favorite/Favorite is the way to go.

Even the Arabian races chalkout

Good luck today Steve. I am singling Awesomondo in my P5 also. Thanks for strongly pointing out how scary Pletcher was yesterday in the Susie. Took another look and moved him up to an A in my P4 and ending up cashing my biggest P4 ever. Had to sweat out stretch drive with Alternation.Like I said yesterday that DVH keeps making my summer.

Anyone else getting a bunch of aqua-colored screens but no live video from twinspires?? 12:27 est

Now my TS feed is nothing but blue screen.

ditto