Derby Trail Forums - 5/16: Belmont Park ($28k C/O)

Long day of ups and downs Sunday that ended with frustrating P6/P4 beat at Hollywood. Having trendous trouble connecting or closing out sequences the past month, but had quite a few good looks within the Belmont, Calder and HollyPark action and expect better results are around the corner. Very challenging $28k carryover in New York even with races taken off the turf..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

ALL RACES OFF THE TURF

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$28k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Joburg Star WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #15 Afleet Acclaim 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Indigene Charm 3rd

5th: CLM, F&M-3+., 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Powhatan Princess 8-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #4 Miss Tequila 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Skiddles n' Bob 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Late SCR

6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #14 Bandini's Diamond 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Bonatini 12-1 WON ($14.60)
Exotics Use: #13 Sugar Beach 7-2 5th
Super Add: #12 Cozy App 4-1 6th

7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Tough, tough group with half the field (1e-2e-4-7-8) all looking capable..

Most Likely: #7 Ruffino 3-1 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #4 Macho Muchacho 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1a Congo 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Hill Crossing 4-1 2nd

8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Heir to Dare 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #2 Emma's Encore 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Street Mate 7-2 3rd

9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

No ML's as this could be carved up quite a bit by off-turf SCR's. Let's re-visit after 11a..

Most Likely: #2 Tricky Guy 2nd
Best Value: #10 Scrap Dragon 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Fear Nothing 3rd
Super Add: #9 Mingunade 4th

<$125 P6 Play:

4: 1-15
5: 1-4
6: 14
7: 1-2-4-7-9
8: 5
9: 2-10-11

2x2x1x5x1x3 = 60 x $2 = $120

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-14
7: 1-2-4-7-8
8: 2-3-5
9: 2-9-10-11

2x5x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60

Good luck!
Steve